VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Consumer sector

TTG

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần May Thanh Trì
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
13.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.977
Current
13.500
Gap
-48.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
47.15%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
52.85%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF794.34M
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
794.34M
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
6.977
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TTG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

56
Fair
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
33

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.14
Moderate
DSRI
0.443
GMI
1.240
AQI
1.076
SGI
1.156
DEPI
1.235
SGAI
0.565
TATA
0.043
LVGI
0.219

TTG exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly the Beneish M-Score of -2.1367, which suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation, yet the earnings quality score of 55.6 indicates potential issues with cash conversion and revenue recognition. The ownership structure is concentrated among a few individuals, which may pose governance risks.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.1367, although below the manipulation threshold, indicates potential earnings quality concerns.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 55.6/100, with a notably low cash conversion score of 39.8/100, suggesting difficulties in converting earnings into actual cash.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.4428 indicates that inventory levels are well-managed relative to sales, which is a positive sign for operational efficiency.
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests strong management of receivables, indicating that the company is effectively collecting payments.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are individuals with significant stakes, leading to a concentrated ownership structure that may limit shareholder influence and raise governance concerns.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor TTG's cash conversion metrics and consider the implications of its concentrated ownership structure before making investment decisions. A deeper analysis of cash flow statements is recommended to assess the sustainability of earnings.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
11.46
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.07
Negative
Composite
28
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-24.2%
Volatility
121.8%
Max Drawdown
-67.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
16.37P/E
P/B1.59
P/S0.95
ROE15.4%
ROA11.6%
EPS635.34
BVPS6539.67
Gross Margin19.1%
Net Margin5.8%
D/E0.13
Current Ratio5.37
Rev Growth15.6%
Profit Growth19.3%
EV/EBITDA8.11
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.4M
Charter Capital
34.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng May mặc
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TTG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-viet-dung
Indiv
20.6%
700.000
nguyen-bao-ngoc
Indiv
12.7%
432.800
Lê Khánh Việt
Indiv
10.2%
345.000
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Tú
Indiv
8.9%
304.000
Nguyễn Tấn Lộc
Indiv
5.0%
97.300
Lê Thị Hồng Lan
Indiv
4.6%
90.000
Nguyễn Văn Sơn
Indiv
4.6%
155.100
Maxport Limited
Inst
3.8%
130.000
Lý Nam Ninh
Indiv
2.9%
100.000
Nguyễn Thị Chiến
Indiv
0.4%
7.600
nguyen-dinh-tu
Indiv
0.3%
9.000
Nguyễn Thị Thành
Indiv
0.2%
4.200
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.1%
2.600
Board & Management
Nguyễn Hải Đông
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Minh Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Mạnh Quảng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Thị Nguyệt Anh
Phó phòng Kế toán/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quang Huy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Phan Lê Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Huệ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Mai Hương
Phó Giám đốc
Vũ Thị Hồng Hạnh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đào Thị Thủy
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →