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Consumer sector

CLC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Cát Lợi
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Thuốc láCT
54.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
80.263
Current
54.000
Gap
+48.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
50.09%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.36%
x
D/(D+E)
49.91%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend8.54%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF132.86B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
132.86B
Growth Rate
8.54%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
80.263
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CLC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

91
Good
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
84
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
70

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.60
Elevated
DSRI
1.011
GMI
1.099
AQI
2.699
SGI
1.120
DEPI
0.754
SGAI
0.739
TATA
-0.004
LVGI
0.933

CLC exhibits strong earnings quality metrics and a Beneish M-Score indicating no significant manipulation risk. The ownership structure is dominated by institutional investors, suggesting stability and confidence in the company's operations.

Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.6029, well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating low risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 91.1/100, reflecting strong accruals and cash conversion metrics, particularly an impressive receivables score of 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The top three shareholders are all state-owned enterprises, controlling 61.5% of the company, which may limit minority shareholder influence but also suggests a stable governance structure.

Recommendation

Given the strong earnings quality and low manipulation risk, consider a buy position in CLC, while monitoring any changes in the ownership structure that could affect governance.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
4.18
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.38
Positive
Composite
79
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+21.1%
Volatility
35.3%
Max Drawdown
-11.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
7.77P/E
P/B1.47
P/S0.34
ROE19.4%
ROA9.4%
EPS6946.42
BVPS36746.71
Gross Margin10.0%
Net Margin4.4%
D/E1.00
Current Ratio1.93
Rev Growth12.0%
Profit Growth21.2%
EV/EBITDA6.04
Div Yield2.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
26.2M
Charter Capital
262.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Thuốc lá
Sub-industry
Thuốc lá
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CLC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Thuốc lá Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
13.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV Thuốc lá Sài Gòn
Inst
6.4%
1.7 trieu
Công ty TNHH Một thành viên Thuốc lá Thăng Long
Inst
4.1%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Tuý
Indiv
1.0%
136.396
nguyen-van-dao
Indiv
0.6%
75.000
Nguyễn Lê Toàn Thắng
Indiv
0.6%
150.000
Nhâm Minh Thuận
Indiv
0.4%
114.000
Lê Hồng Thúy
Indiv
0.4%
110.361
Phạm Hữu Tài
Indiv
0.4%
52.858
Trương Bình An Sơn
Indiv
0.4%
101.597
nguyen-viet-dung
Indiv
0.3%
44.845
Bùi Tấn Hòa
Indiv
0.2%
48.101
Nguyễn Hoàng Minh
Indiv
0.2%
44.110
Nguyễn Thị Diệu Linh
Indiv
0.1%
30.276
Cù Mạnh Đạt
Indiv
0.1%
30.008
Phạm Thị Bích Chi
Indiv
0.1%
25.477
Board & Management
Nguyễn Hoàng Minh0.2%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Cù Mạnh Đạt0.1%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Đức Hanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Huỳnh Nam
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Thu Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Ánh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Châu Tuấn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thành Trung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Lê Diễm Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Liêu Phước Tính
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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