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Công ty Cổ phần Tư vấn Xây dựng Điện 1

VietnamConsumerHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpTư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhUPCOMCT
19.600
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+26.8%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
19.600
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
24.849

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • Trading liquidity is low.
  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
Model reliability
Medium
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
58.6%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

+5.5percentage points
Consumer12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Consumer peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−9.5+5.5
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.49%
Ke
11.49%
x
E/(D+E)
58.68%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.24%
x
D/(D+E)
41.32%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→206.46B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→19.600
Calibrated value vs last close→+26.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
24.849
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate4.00%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow206.5 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth1.0%2.5%4.0%5.5%7.0%
8.0%26.72326.72326.72326.72326.723
9.0%26.72326.72326.72326.72326.723
10.0%26.72326.72326.72326.72326.723
11.0%26.72326.72326.72326.72326.723
12.0%24.84924.84924.84924.84925.124
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5384675485546288779228818981,023909864846
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·32362446392734343936304767
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·51300000000000
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·359325420354385432383353401468408395434
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·19151515172121323727171033
Net Inventories
·94102104153198418505493455518471396324
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·154153148167198418505493455518471396324
Other current assets
·1.00.90.91.060.70.91.020.10.062521
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000002521
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·5415746126396817257738228979481,0231,0441,008
Long-term trade receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.050.10000000.962859576
Other long-term receivables (Bn. VND)
·0.050.1000000000218
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·527561598635676722770817886881928940921
Tangible fixed assets
·525560596634675719768816864858904917908
Intagible fixed assets
·1120.71222222324183
Other non-current assets
·15121442335337911
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·74442335337911
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,0791,0411,1601,1931,3081,6021,6951,7031,7941,9701,9321,9071,854
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·5686467998981,1301,3221,4161,4091,4571,6431,6121,5741,563
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·567535538660730845883837849970928858841
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·134166205290398455468427471554629537500
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·10484789377951151208695454633
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·0.5112261238400477533572608673684716722
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·0.5112261238319396463525558574615685684
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·511394361295178280280293338327320333291
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·511394361294173280278292330327320333291
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·267267267267267267267267267267267267230
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·0000000000000.01
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·66412323232323232323221717
Other Reserves
·0.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.50.5
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·17886713−118−11−1224037304539
Budget sources and other funds
·00.10.1250.6118000.30.08
Budget sources and other funds
·00.10.1250.6118000.30.08
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·1,0791,0411,1601,1931,3081,6021,6951,7031,7941,9701,9321,9071,854
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·267267267267267267267267267267267267230

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
79
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
59
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.38 · 45th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +1.01
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.880
GMI
1.102
AQI
1.103
SGI
1.256
DEPI
0.942
SGAI
0.469
TATA
−0.054
LVGI
0.847

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.6267th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.7%46th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.08
Grey Zone
Sharpe
−0.44
Negative
Composite
93
70 and above
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✓ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✓Lower Leverage
✓Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✓Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.79×Interest Burden0.99×Op. Margin0.27×Turnover0.66×Leverage2.11=ROE29.4%
Price Risk
Momentum
−10.8%
Volatility
18.1%
Max Drawdown
−50.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
3.52P/E
P/B
1.03
P/S
0.75
ROE
33.2%
ROA
14.2%
EPS
5.627
BVPS
19.157
Gross Margin
34.7%
Net Margin
21.2%
D/E
0.26
Current Ratio
0.95
Rev Growth
+25.6%
Profit Growth
+71.7%
EV/EBITDA
2.40
Div Yield
3.0%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
26.7M
Charter Capital
267B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ KD
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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