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Real Estate sector

EFI

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Tài chính Giáo dục
Bất động sảnCT
1.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
3.447
Current
1.800
Gap
+91.5%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
97.27%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
2.73%
=
WACC
13.40%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
7.888
60%DCF Value
487
Blended Intrinsic
3.447
Value Decomposition
37%
63%
Explicit period (37%)Terminal value (63%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — EFI

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

34
Weak
Accrual Quality
68
Cash Conversion
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2021

-1.13
High Risk
DSRI
2.586
GMI
0.244
AQI
1.100
SGI
0.358
DEPI
0.261
SGAI
1.091
TATA
0.192
LVGI
0.932

EFI exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.1303, which suggests a lower likelihood of manipulation but still raises caution. The earnings quality score of 18.9/100 indicates significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and cash conversion, which are critical in assessing the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • DSRI of 2.5865 indicates a significant increase in receivables relative to sales, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 18.9/100, particularly low scores in eq_receivables (0.0/100) and eq_margin (0.0/100), highlight severe concerns regarding the sustainability of earnings.
Positive Signals
  • The GMI of 0.2439 is below the threshold of 0.5, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • The ownership concentration with top shareholders holding significant stakes (Nguyen-Dinh-Viet at 18.6% and Nguyen-Son-Tung at 14.9%) may align interests and provide stability.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, while potentially stabilizing, also poses risks of governance issues and lack of minority shareholder protection, especially in a market with prevalent state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and conglomerate structures.

Recommendation

Investors should approach EFI with caution, closely monitoring its earnings quality metrics and potential revenue recognition issues. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality indicators before considering an investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
9.90
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.04
Negative
Composite
44
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-5.3%
Volatility
92.5%
Max Drawdown
-43.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
14.44P/E
P/B0.33
P/S0.00
ROE2.3%
ROA2.3%
EPS145.39
BVPS6310.72
D/E0.01
Current Ratio23.88
Profit Growth243.6%
EV/EBITDA-14.79
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
10.9M
Charter Capital
108.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for EFI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-dinh-viet
Indiv
18.6%
2.0 trieu
nguyen-son-tung
Indiv
14.9%
1.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư PVR Hà Nội
Inst
7.0%
764.800
Bùi Thu Trinh
Indiv
5.3%
571.200
Quỹ Đầu tư Chứng khoán Y tế Bản Việt
Inst
3.9%
520.000
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Sài Gòn - Hà Nội
Inst
3.8%
508.444
america limited liability company
Inst
2.8%
308.500
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Điệp
Indiv
1.3%
143.100
Phạm Thanh Nam
Indiv
1.2%
130.000
Huỳnh Bá Vân
Indiv
1.1%
119.250
Lã Thị Vân Anh
Indiv
1.0%
112.300
Lê Thành Anh
Indiv
0.8%
8.600
Hoàng Lê Bách
Indiv
0.4%
39.160
Nguyễn Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
0.3%
36.800
Nguyễn Thúy Hạnh
Indiv
0.2%
21.700
Board & Management
Lê Thị Vân
Kế toán trưởng
Đào Đức Hiếu
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Thúy
Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Trí Cường
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Thành Thị Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Thùy Dương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Viết Thắng
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Bích Hà
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Diệu Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ánh Tuyết
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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