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Construction sector

PHC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây dựng Phục Hưng Holdings
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
4.520
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.397
Current
4.520
Gap
+41.5%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
12.794
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
12.794

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PHC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

73
Good
Accrual Quality
99
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
24

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.59
Low Risk
DSRI
1.153
GMI
0.733
AQI
0.868
SGI
0.986
DEPI
0.963
SGAI
1.119
TATA
-0.002
LVGI
1.026

The Beneish M-Score of -2.5882 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in revenue recognition, which could pose risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 73.4/100 is decent, but the eq_margin score of 0.0/100 indicates a complete lack of profitability in margins, raising concerns about sustainable earnings.
  • The SGI of 0.9857 suggests that sales growth is slowing, which could indicate potential issues with demand or market position.
Positive Signals
  • The eq_accrual score of 99.3/100 and eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicate strong cash conversion and accrual quality, suggesting that reported earnings are backed by actual cash flows.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are primarily individuals, which may lead to concentrated control and potential governance issues. However, the presence of an institutional investor (10.1%) may provide some level of oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor revenue recognition practices closely and consider the implications of the low margin score. A thorough review of the company's operational efficiency and market strategy is recommended before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
0.54
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.71
Negative
Composite
56
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-11.6%
Volatility
20.3%
Max Drawdown
-26.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.86P/E
P/B0.38
P/S0.16
ROE3.5%
ROA0.6%
EPS441.95
BVPS12794.08
Gross Margin7.7%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E4.46
Current Ratio1.04
Rev Growth-1.4%
Profit Growth359.7%
EV/EBITDA21.73
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
50.6M
Charter Capital
506.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PHC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Quang Vinh
Indiv
21.2%
2.3 trieu
Cao Tùng Lâm
Indiv
11.7%
5.9 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ Ngân hàng TMCP Đại chúng Việt nam
Inst
10.1%
1.1 trieu
Lương Hoài Thu
Indiv
7.0%
757.515
Lưu Quang Hưng
Indiv
7.0%
757.500
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Sài Gòn - Hà Nội
Inst
4.9%
534.185
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Bảo Việt
Inst
4.4%
484.500
Vũ Xuân Quyết
Indiv
3.5%
798.516
Bùi Thị Vân Anh
Indiv
2.9%
1.5 trieu
Nguyễn Công Khanh
Indiv
2.9%
1.5 trieu
Trần Huy Tưởng
Indiv
1.8%
934.370
Nguyễn Đức Thắng
Indiv
1.7%
862.397
Trần Hồng Phúc
Indiv
1.3%
676.155
Đỗ Doãn Ngọc Ly
Indiv
1.0%
217.631
Đỗ Nguyên An
Indiv
0.9%
462.973
Nguyễn Thị Lan Hương
Indiv
0.7%
155.461
Nguyễn Thị Lan
Indiv
0.7%
171.006
Bùi Trường Sơn
Indiv
0.6%
60.362
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Xây dựng và Thương mại Việt Nam
Inst
0.5%
60.000
Đỗ Việt Anh
Indiv
0.5%
105.294
Nguyễn Đức Chính
Indiv
0.5%
122.354
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.5%
51.200
Lưu Văn Lạc
Indiv
0.5%
51.130
Nguyễn Quốc Hiệp
Indiv
0.5%
50.000
Đặng Trọng Đức
Indiv
0.4%
223.160
HOÀNG VĂN ĐÀO
Indiv
0.4%
110.000
Trần Hồng Mây
Indiv
0.4%
200.000
Lê Quốc Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
105.600
Trần Thắng Lợi
Indiv
0.2%
97.328
nguyen-hoang-yen
Indiv
0.2%
82.534
nguyen-hoang-yen
Indiv
0.2%
82.534
Nguyễn Hoàng Anh
Indiv
0.1%
72.288
Ngô Thị Minh Nguyệt
Indiv
0.1%
66.646
Board & Management
Cao Tùng Lâm11.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Công Khanh2.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Huy Tưởng1.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Đức Thắng1.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Hồng Phúc1.3%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Nguyên An0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Lan0.7%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đặng Trọng Đức0.4%
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Lê Quốc Tuấn0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thắng Lợi0.2%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Thị Minh Nguyệt0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Như Phi
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Cao Xuân Dũng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Thanh Tuyền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Điệp
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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