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Construction sector

WTC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vận tải thủy - Vinacomin
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Vận tảiCT
9.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.499
Current
9.000
Gap
-5.6%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
16.999
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
16.999

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — WTC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

43
Weak
Accrual Quality
59
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
21
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.85
Moderate
DSRI
3.073
GMI
0.534
AQI
0.359
SGI
0.909
DEPI
0.986
SGAI
1.562
TATA
-0.103
LVGI
1.348

WTC exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -1.8508, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 43.0/100, particularly low metrics in receivables and revenue, further highlight risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8508 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 43.0/100, with 0.0/100 in receivables and revenue metrics, suggests significant issues in revenue recognition and cash flow management.
Positive Signals
  • Cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow relative to earnings, which is a positive sign amidst other red flags.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with 82.6% held by Công ty TNHH Vận Tải Việt Thuận, which may limit minority shareholder influence and increase risks of management entrenchment.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor WTC's financial disclosures, particularly focusing on revenue recognition practices and the implications of concentrated ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.74
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.41
Negative
Composite
37
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-3.2%
Volatility
36.4%
Max Drawdown
-33.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
18.29P/E
P/B0.58
P/S0.12
ROE3.6%
ROA1.2%
EPS541.38
BVPS16998.53
Gross Margin6.2%
Net Margin0.7%
D/E2.59
Current Ratio1.66
Rev Growth-9.1%
Profit Growth-22.4%
EV/EBITDA15.14
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
17.5M
Charter Capital
175.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Vận tải
Sub-industry
Vận tải Thủy
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for WTC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Vận Tải Việt Thuận
Inst
82.6%
14.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Kinh doanh Than Cẩm Phả - Vinacomin
Inst
6.0%
600.000
Công ty Cổ phần Kinh doanh Than Miền Bắc - Vinacomin
Inst
6.0%
600.000
Công ty Cổ phần Than Miền Nam
Inst
6.0%
600.000
Công ty Cổ phần Than Miền Trung
Inst
6.0%
600.000
Phạm Thế Trọng Toản
Indiv
4.1%
720.409
Trịnh Mạnh Hùng
Indiv
3.1%
546.567
Lê Thị Liên
Indiv
1.5%
270.383
Trịnh Thị Nga
Indiv
1.1%
194.646
Trần Viết Viện
Indiv
0.1%
10.500
Board & Management
Phạm Thế Trọng Toản4.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Mạnh Hùng3.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Văn Tâm
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Thu Hiền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Trung Úy
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Thanh Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Vũ Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Thị Thanh Loan
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Trọng Đại
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thị Thu Hà
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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