AST
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AST
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
AST exhibits several concerning indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as suggested by its Beneish M-Score of -1.8345, which is below the threshold for possible manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 70.8 indicates relatively strong accrual quality, suggesting that while there are risks, the financials may not be entirely unreliable.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.8345 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
- High DSRI of 1.3981 suggests that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenue, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
- Low eq_revenue score of 35.4/100 indicates potential issues with revenue quality.
- Earnings Quality Score of 70.8/100 reflects decent overall earnings quality, particularly strong accrual quality at 94.1/100.
- Institutional ownership is high at 78.6%, which may provide some level of oversight and stability.
The high concentration of institutional ownership (78.6%) reduces the risk of erratic management decisions but may also lead to a lack of transparency in governance practices.
Investors should closely monitor AST's financial disclosures for signs of earnings manipulation and consider a cautious approach given the elevated risk level. It may be prudent to wait for clearer signals of financial stability before making significant investments.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for AST — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate