VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

HFB

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Công trình Cầu phà Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
10.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
51.722
Current
10.100
Gap
+412.1%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
21.91%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.37%
x
D/(D+E)
78.09%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.39%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
15.958
50%DCF Value
87.486
Blended Intrinsic
51.722
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HFB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

76
Good
Accrual Quality
68
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
56
Revenue Quality
36

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.76
Low Risk
DSRI
0.814
GMI
1.334
AQI
0.482
SGI
1.266
DEPI
1.247
SGAI
0.787
TATA
-0.080
LVGI
1.014

HFB exhibits several concerning financial metrics, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.7612, indicating a low risk of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 75.8/100, while decent, reveals weaknesses in revenue recognition and margins, suggesting potential volatility in future earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.7612, indicating a low likelihood of manipulation but also reflecting a need for scrutiny given the threshold of > -1.78.
  • Earnings quality metrics show a low revenue score of 35.9/100, indicating potential issues with revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion rate of 100.0/100, suggesting effective management of cash flows.
  • Institutional ownership at 40.0% indicates a level of confidence from significant investors.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a significant concentration with the top shareholder holding 40.0%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor the company's revenue recognition practices closely and consider diversifying their holdings to mitigate risks associated with concentrated ownership.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.58
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.33
Positive
Composite
81
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+14.4%
Volatility
64.5%
Max Drawdown
-27.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
16.83P/E
P/B0.91
P/S0.16
ROE7.0%
ROA1.5%
EPS780.54
BVPS11122.69
Gross Margin5.7%
Net Margin1.2%
D/E3.81
Current Ratio1.19
Rev Growth26.6%
Profit Growth-19.1%
EV/EBITDA2.90
Div Yield5.9%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.1M
Charter Capital
91.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HFB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Đầu tư Tài chính Nhà nước Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Inst
40.0%
3.6 trieu
Hoàng Mạnh Hào
Indiv
11.1%
1.0 trieu
Huỳnh Bá Lân
Indiv
10.6%
963.900
Lê Hữu Châu
Indiv
8.7%
793.000
Tạ Thị Hồng Tâm
Indiv
7.7%
700.000
Cao Thanh Mai
Indiv
2.2%
200.000
Vũ Tiến Đạt
Indiv
1.0%
93.000
nguyen-quang-huy
Indiv
0.9%
85.600
Trần Minh Trung
Indiv
0.8%
73.500
Nguyễn Việt Tuấn
Indiv
0.7%
61.700
Lê Mạnh Thư
Indiv
0.5%
43.000
Trần Minh Thành
Indiv
0.4%
38.900
Lê Nga Phương
Indiv
0.1%
12.100
Board & Management
Lê Hữu Châu8.7%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Tạ Thị Hồng Tâm7.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Tiến Đạt1.0%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quang Huy0.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
TRẦN MINH TRUNG0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Mạnh Thư0.5%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Nga Phương0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Ngọc Thành
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Đắc Chí
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Trịnh Lê Quang Vinh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thái Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Quỳnh Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →