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Utilities sector

CCI

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Phát triển Công nghiệp Thương mại Củ Chi
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
24.250
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
25.310
Current
24.250
Gap
+4.4%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend2.89%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.300
Payout ratio63.9%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.300
Base Growth
2.89%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
25.310
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CCI

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

51
Fair
Accrual Quality
23
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
95
Margin Stability
9
Revenue Quality
28

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-3.08
Low Risk
DSRI
0.679
GMI
0.761
AQI
1.035
SGI
0.755
DEPI
0.957
SGAI
1.374
TATA
0.020
LVGI
0.995

CCI exhibits several concerning financial metrics indicating potential manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -3.0797, well below the manipulation threshold. The earnings quality score of 35.9/100, especially low cash conversion and receivables metrics, further raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.0797 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 35.9/100 suggests poor earnings reliability, particularly with cash conversion at 43.0/100 and receivables at 0.0/100.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.6790 and SGI of 0.7550 indicate that inventory and sales growth are well-managed relative to each other, which is a positive sign.
  • The low DEPI of 0.9568 suggests that depreciation expenses are consistent with asset usage, indicating potential stability in asset management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are predominantly institutional, with the largest holding at 25.7%, which may provide some stability. However, the concentration of ownership could lead to governance risks if decisions favor major shareholders over minority interests.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence on CCI, particularly focusing on cash flow and receivables management. Monitoring upcoming financial reports for improvements in earnings quality metrics is advisable before considering any investment.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.82
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.45
Positive
Composite
59
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+41.4%
Volatility
61.4%
Max Drawdown
-17.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.55P/E
P/B1.48
P/S1.13
ROE17.9%
ROA5.3%
EPS2837.66
BVPS16348.82
Gross Margin13.4%
Net Margin13.2%
D/E2.77
Current Ratio18.72
Rev Growth-9.8%
Profit Growth53.4%
EV/EBITDA19.77
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
17.7M
Charter Capital
177.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CCI — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Đầu tư Tài chính Nhà nước Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Inst
25.7%
4.6 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV Quản Lý Nợ Và Khai Thác Tài Sản - Ngân Hàng Thương Mại CP Việt Á
Inst
9.5%
1.7 trieu
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bảo hiểm Hùng Vương
Inst
9.1%
1.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Tập Đoàn Đầu Tư Việt Phương
Inst
6.3%
1.1 trieu
Công ty TNHH Xây Dựng - Thương Mại Thuận Việt
Inst
6.2%
1.1 trieu
Đoàn Minh Duy
Indiv
5.1%
912.345
Công ty Xăng Dầu Khu Vực II
Inst
5.1%
900.000
Đặng Thị Mai Thi
Indiv
5.0%
892.380
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Gia Thy
Inst
4.7%
836.970
Nguyễn Văn Tâm
Indiv
3.0%
540.000
Phan Hoàng Tuấn
Indiv
2.9%
521.860
Lâm Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
1.5%
270.000
Phan Văn Tới
Indiv
0.9%
151.870
Phan Thị Thanh Xuân
Indiv
0.8%
141.750
Đặng Ngọc Thành
Indiv
0.8%
135.000
Nguyễn Thị Tiện
Indiv
0.3%
60.502
Nguyễn Văn Châu
Indiv
0.2%
35.420
Nguyễn Thị Lang
Indiv
0.2%
30.937
Hồ Thị Phương
Indiv
0.2%
30.015
Tống Huy Cường
Indiv
0.2%
20.250
Trần Tấn Trung
Indiv
0.1%
18.000
Board & Management
Đoàn Minh Duy5.1%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Tâm3.0%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Hoàng Tuấn2.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Văn Tới0.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Văn Hậu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Hữu Nghĩa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thanh Nhựt
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Trà Mỹ Hạnh
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Văn Tư
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Ngọc Đăng Khoa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Việt Anh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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