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Utilities sector

CHS

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Chiếu sáng Công cộng Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
10.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.320
Current
10.400
Gap
+66.5%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend2.56%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS900
Payout ratio72.6%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
900
Base Growth
2.56%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
17.320
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CHS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

54
Fair
Accrual Quality
97
Cash Conversion
71
Receivables
17
Margin Stability
87
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2015

-1.91
Moderate
DSRI
0.822
GMI
0.888
AQI
3.562
SGI
0.639
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
1.286
TATA
0.058
LVGI
1.089

The Beneish M-Score of -1.9131 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 52.8 suggests moderate overall earnings quality, with strong margins but concerning cash conversion and receivables metrics.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.9131 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 34.1/100 is low, suggesting issues with cash flow relative to earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Strong gross margin score of 100.0/100 indicates effective cost management and pricing power.
  • Institutional ownership of 78.8% suggests a level of confidence from larger investors.
Ownership Risk

The high institutional ownership (78.8%) may provide stability; however, reliance on a few major shareholders could lead to governance risks if their interests diverge from minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow and receivables metrics while considering a cautious approach due to the elevated risk of earnings manipulation. Engaging with management for clarity on cash conversion practices is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.52
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.33
Negative
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-6.6%
Volatility
34.6%
Max Drawdown
-21.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.58P/E
P/B0.92
P/S0.52
ROE9.6%
ROA6.5%
EPS1085.62
BVPS11249.33
Gross Margin20.7%
Net Margin5.5%
D/E0.50
Current Ratio2.90
Rev Growth-10.3%
Profit Growth-12.6%
EV/EBITDA3.69
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
28.4M
Charter Capital
284.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Tiện ích khác
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CHS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Đầu tư Tài chính Nhà nước Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Inst
51.0%
14.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Long Hậu
Inst
27.8%
7.9 trieu
nguyen-thanh-duc
Indiv
8.1%
2.3 trieu
Board & Management
Dương Chí Nam
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Chiến Thắng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Thị Kim Huệ
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thị Xuân Đông
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Phạm Thị Xuân Liễu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Huỳnh Trí Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Bùi Lê Anh Hiếu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Mai Đăng Khôi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Nam Trung
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Văn Hùng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Hạnh Tiên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tấn Phong
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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