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Real Estate sector

CNT

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Tập đoàn CNT
Bất động sảnCT
6.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.374
Current
6.200
Gap
+196.4%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
82.58%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.81%
x
D/(D+E)
17.42%
=
WACC
12.42%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
13.438
60%DCF Value
21.665
Blended Intrinsic
18.374
Value Decomposition
39%
61%
Explicit period (39%)Terminal value (61%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — CNT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

12
Poor
Accrual Quality
3
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
45
Revenue Quality
31

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.43
High Risk
DSRI
0.701
GMI
1.540
AQI
1.432
SGI
0.237
DEPI
1.113
SGAI
3.174
TATA
0.375
LVGI
0.534

CNT exhibits several concerning indicators of earnings quality and potential manipulation, as evidenced by a Beneish M-Score of -1.4314, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The low earnings quality score of 12.1/100 further highlights significant risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 12.1/100 indicates poor earnings quality.
  • High SGAI of 3.1735 suggests excessive selling, general, and administrative expenses relative to sales, which could indicate inefficiencies or potential manipulation.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.7012 indicates that accounts receivable are growing slower than sales, which is a positive sign.
  • SGI of 0.2370 shows that sales growth is significantly lower than the industry average, potentially indicating a conservative approach to revenue recognition.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Công ty Cổ Phần Hồng Mã holding 88.1% of shares, which raises concerns about minority shareholder rights and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should approach CNT with caution, considering the elevated risk of earnings manipulation. It is advisable to monitor future earnings reports closely and assess any changes in management or ownership structure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
5.29
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.89
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-28.1%
Volatility
45.4%
Max Drawdown
-41.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
24.15P/E
P/B0.58
P/S7.38
ROE2.4%
ROA2.1%
EPS258.15
BVPS10750.63
Gross Margin48.4%
Net Margin30.6%
D/E0.10
Current Ratio11.50
Rev Growth-76.3%
Profit Growth-87.5%
EV/EBITDA107.45
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
65.5M
Charter Capital
654.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for CNT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Hồng Mã
Inst
88.1%
57.8 trieu
Phạm Quốc Khánh
Indiv
5.7%
561.340
NGUYỄN MẠNH HIẾU
Indiv
1.5%
596.500
Đỗ Thị Ngọc Bình
Indiv
1.1%
112.150
Phạm Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.8%
74.450
nguyen-thi-minh-huong
Indiv
0.6%
57.800
Đỗ Minh Đức
Indiv
0.4%
36.000
Phùng Đạt Đức
Indiv
0.4%
35.500
Nguyễn Phúc Huy
Indiv
0.3%
28.670
Trần Công Quốc Bảo
Indiv
0.3%
25.610
Hoàng Ngọc Minh
Indiv
0.2%
22.012
Đỗ Đức Minh
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Nguyễn Thị Minh Thịnh
Indiv
0.2%
17.310
Board & Management
Phạm Quốc Khánh1.7%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phùng Đạt Đức0.4%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Sơn Nam
Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Mạnh Hùng
Giám đốc Tài chính
Nguyễn Thanh Tuân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lý Chí Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Trần Công Quý
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Quý Công
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hương
Kế toán trưởng
Phan Trung Huy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
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