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Consumer sector

BHP

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Bia Hà Nội - Hải Phòng
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Bia và đồ uốngCT
7.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
13.551
Current
7.000
Gap
+93.6%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
78.73%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.17%
x
D/(D+E)
21.27%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.21%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF6.26B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
6.26B
Growth Rate
2.21%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
13.551
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — BHP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

70
Good
Accrual Quality
71
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
49
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.16
Low Risk
DSRI
0.602
GMI
0.829
AQI
1.259
SGI
0.948
DEPI
1.293
SGAI
1.170
TATA
-0.073
LVGI
0.840

BHP exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.1638, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 70.0/100 reveals weaknesses in revenue recognition and margins, which could pose risks in financial reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Margin at 48.8/100 indicates potential issues with profitability reporting.
  • Revenue Quality Score at 0.0/100 raises concerns about the reliability of revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.1638 suggests low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates effective cash management.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội at 65.0% suggests a stable control structure, but may limit minority shareholder influence and raise concerns about governance practices.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor revenue recognition practices closely and consider the implications of ownership concentration on governance. A deeper analysis of margin improvement strategies is advisable.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.39
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.12
Positive
Composite
76
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+25.8%
Volatility
103.9%
Max Drawdown
-30.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
20.70P/E
P/B0.41
P/S0.31
ROE2.0%
ROA1.6%
EPS338.15
BVPS16989.20
Gross Margin28.0%
Net Margin1.5%
D/E0.22
Current Ratio1.41
Rev Growth-5.2%
Profit Growth80.2%
EV/EBITDA2.55
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.2M
Charter Capital
91.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Bia và đồ uống
Sub-industry
Sản xuất bia
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for BHP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Bia - Rượu - Nước giải khát Hà Nội
Inst
65.0%
6.0 trieu
Tạ Thu Thủy
Indiv
0.3%
31.960
Lê Viết Sắc
Indiv
0.2%
21.960
Phạm Quốc Khánh
Indiv
0.2%
18.540
Đinh Duy Hòa
Indiv
0.1%
9.910
Board & Management
Tạ Thu Thủy0.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Quốc Khánh0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Đinh Duy Hòa0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Hương Giang
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Thị Hồng Nhung
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Cao Thanh Dung
Phó Giám đốc
Vương Toàn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Công Tín
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Đình Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Thị Việt Nga
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Như Khuê
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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