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Real Estate sector

NVT

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Bất động sản Du lịch Ninh Vân Bay
Bất động sảnCT
7.640
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
8.001
Current
7.640
Gap
+4.7%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
49.91%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.14%
x
D/(D+E)
50.09%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
2.857
60%DCF Value
11.430
Blended Intrinsic
8.001
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NVT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

81
Good
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
98

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.63
Low Risk
DSRI
0.951
GMI
0.944
AQI
0.978
SGI
1.138
DEPI
0.990
SGAI
1.005
TATA
-0.043
LVGI
0.963

NVT exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.6303, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the SGI of 1.1378 suggests potential aggressive revenue growth that may warrant further scrutiny in the context of the Vietnamese market.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.1378 indicates aggressive revenue growth, which could be unsustainable.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 80.5/100, with cash conversion metrics at 100.0/100, suggests strong operational performance.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Công ty CP Nvt Holdings at 94.2% raises concerns about governance and minority shareholder rights, potentially limiting transparency.

Recommendation

Monitor revenue growth closely due to the elevated SGI and consider engaging with management regarding their growth strategies to ensure sustainability.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
0.71
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.21
Negative
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+4.5%
Volatility
47.1%
Max Drawdown
-24.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
37.48P/E
P/B2.94
P/S1.42
ROE8.2%
ROA1.6%
EPS195.06
BVPS2486.98
Gross Margin57.7%
Net Margin3.8%
D/E0.95
Current Ratio1.52
Rev Growth13.8%
Profit Growth281.2%
EV/EBITDA5.07
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
90.5M
Charter Capital
905.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NVT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty CP Nvt Holdings
Inst
94.2%
85.3 trieu
Phùng Quang Việt
Indiv
5.0%
4.5 trieu
David Peter ONeil
Indiv
2.3%
2.1 trieu
asean small cap fund
Inst
1.5%
1.3 trieu
Lê Xuân Hải
Indiv
0.4%
408.848
Board & Management
Hồ Việt Hà
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hoàng Giang
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Phạm Thị Thu Phương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Thành Thái Lĩnh
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thúy Liên
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Hồ Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Thị Hạnh
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Vũ Hồng Quỳnh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Ngọc Tú
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Trịnh Nguyên Khánh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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