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Construction sector

TPP

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Tân Phú Việt Nam
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Hàng công nghiệpCT
10.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.666
Current
10.500
Gap
-27.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Enterprise Value
BVPS
15.333
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
15.333

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TPP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

19
Poor
Accrual Quality
56
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
9
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
22

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.25
High Risk
DSRI
1.533
GMI
0.989
AQI
1.480
SGI
0.993
DEPI
0.650
SGAI
0.873
TATA
0.116
LVGI
0.904

The Beneish M-Score of -1.2535 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the low Earnings Quality Score of 19.1/100 and particularly poor cash conversion metrics raise concerns about the sustainability of earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 19.1/100 indicates significant issues with earnings sustainability, particularly with cash conversion at 0.0/100.
  • The DSRI of 1.5333 suggests that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenue, which could indicate potential revenue recognition issues.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.2535 is above the manipulation threshold, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • SGI of 0.9934 indicates that sales growth is stable, which is a positive sign in the context of the Vietnamese market.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership with DNP Holding holding 52.7% raises potential governance risks, as decisions may heavily favor the interests of this entity over minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow performance and consider engaging with management regarding earnings quality. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach until there are improvements in cash conversion metrics.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.59
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.13
Positive
Composite
30
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
+5.7%
Volatility
60.4%
Max Drawdown
-20.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
2.87P/E
P/B0.68
P/S0.21
ROE30.3%
ROA8.3%
EPS3658.54
BVPS15332.87
Gross Margin16.5%
Net Margin7.3%
D/E2.29
Current Ratio1.25
Rev Growth-0.1%
Profit Growth453.1%
EV/EBITDA6.47
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
62.9M
Charter Capital
628.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng công nghiệp
Sub-industry
Containers & Đóng gói
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TPP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần DNP Holding
Inst
52.7%
33.2 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thắm
Indiv
5.3%
707.000
Cáp Thị Quí Chi
Indiv
5.0%
3.2 trieu
nguyen-hoang-thanh
Indiv
5.0%
707.000
Phùng Quang Việt
Indiv
5.0%
707.000
Nguyễn Hữu Kiệm
Indiv
3.7%
222.200
Nguyễn Minh Quang
Indiv
3.6%
2.2 trieu
Phạm Quốc Khánh
Indiv
2.5%
1.1 trieu
Trịnh Tuấn Việt
Indiv
1.8%
109.000
Phạm Trần Thư Nga
Indiv
1.4%
283.000
Đào Minh Tuấn
Indiv
1.4%
636.933
Ngô Đức Trung
Indiv
0.9%
558.915
nguyen-thanh-hien
Indiv
0.8%
50.900
Thượng Thị Ngọc Tuyết
Indiv
0.8%
48.677
Hoàng Đức Mạnh
Indiv
0.6%
275.600
Phạm Đức Trọng
Indiv
0.5%
32.386
Nguyễn Văn Hùng
Indiv
0.5%
30.179
Trần Hồng Phong
Indiv
0.3%
18.966
Board & Management
ĐÀO MINH TUẤN1.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Đức Trung0.9%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Quốc Toàn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Điều hành
Murugan Subramaniam
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Hoàng Quốc Thụy
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Nguyễn Thị Thoại
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Văn Hiếu
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Anh Tuấn
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Huyền
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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