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Consumer sector

DP2

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dược phẩm Trung ương 2
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
4.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
10.421
Current
4.300
Gap
+142.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
18.29%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
81.71%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default4.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF16.40B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
16.40B
Growth Rate
4.00%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
10.421
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DP2

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

33
Weak
Accrual Quality
70
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
11
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
22

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-1.39
High Risk
DSRI
0.966
GMI
3.661
AQI
1.010
SGI
1.061
DEPI
0.309
SGAI
0.976
TATA
-0.052
LVGI
1.062

The Beneish M-Score of -1.3883 indicates a low likelihood of manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 48.9/100, particularly low cash conversion at 11.0/100, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 48.9/100 indicates potential issues with earnings sustainability, particularly low cash conversion (11.0/100) and revenue quality (8.2/100).
  • GMI of 3.6610 suggests a significant increase in gross margin, which may indicate aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.3883 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership, with 75.0% held by a single institutional investor, poses risks related to governance and potential conflicts of interest, limiting minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and revenue recognition practices. Consider engaging with management to clarify strategies for improving earnings quality and reducing ownership concentration risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-0.18
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.43
Negative
Composite
34
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-42.0%
Volatility
70.3%
Max Drawdown
-42.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-8.34P/E
P/B1.22
P/S0.43
ROE-13.6%
ROA-2.4%
EPS-515.53
BVPS3533.11
Gross Margin12.5%
Net Margin-5.2%
D/E4.81
Current Ratio0.60
Rev Growth0.0%
Profit Growth-85.6%
EV/EBITDA5.61
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
20.0M
Charter Capital
200.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DP2 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ Phần Xuất Khẩu Hàng Thủ Công Mỹ Nghệ Sài Gòn
Inst
75.0%
15.0 trieu
Công ty Cổ Phần Đầu Tư Tài Chính Đất Việt
Inst
12.4%
2.5 trieu
Tổng Công ty Dược Việt Nam
Inst
6.8%
1.4 trieu
Trần Văn Vinh
Indiv
0.2%
38.600
Lê Tiến Dũng
Indiv
0.2%
32.345
Board & Management
Lê Tiến Dũng0.2%
Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Diệu Thúy
Kế toán trưởng
Trần Đức Thảo
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Thị Huê
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Xuân Trường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ánh Hồng
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tiến Đức
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Cao Tiến Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Thu Thủy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Thị Tuyết Sương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Trí Dũng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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