UPH
ConsumerValuation Breakdown
A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — UPH
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
UPH exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.6835, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation. The earnings quality score of 71.9/100, particularly strong cash conversion metrics, suggests a solid financial foundation despite some minor concerns in receivables management.
- The receivables quality score is only 2.9/100, indicating potential issues in collecting receivables, which could impact cash flow.
- The company's growth index (SGI) at 0.8650 suggests a decline in revenue growth, which may raise concerns about future performance.
- The earnings quality score of 71.9/100, particularly with a cash conversion score of 100.0/100, indicates strong operational efficiency and effective cash management.
- The low DSRI of 0.9927 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales, reducing the risk of overstocking.
The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with institutional shareholders holding 86.5% of the company. This concentration can lead to stability in decision-making but may also pose risks if these entities prioritize their interests over minority shareholders.
Monitor the receivables closely due to the low score, and consider engaging with management to understand their strategies for improving revenue growth. Given the strong cash conversion, the stock may be a stable investment in the short term.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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> mapping common ownership for UPH — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate