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Utilities sector

DRL

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Thủy điện - Điện lực 3
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
45.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
94.483
Current
45.500
Gap
+107.7%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend1.51%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS5.100
Payout ratio95.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
5.100
Base Growth
1.51%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
94.483
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DRL

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

56
Fair
Accrual Quality
45
Cash Conversion
48
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
87
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-2.00
Moderate
DSRI
1.242
GMI
0.994
AQI
0.546
SGI
1.076
DEPI
1.388
SGAI
0.959
TATA
0.026
LVGI
0.383

The Beneish M-Score of -2.0002 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal concerns, particularly with a revenue quality score of 0.0/100, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 indicates potential aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • DSRI of 1.2425 suggests increasing receivables relative to sales, which may indicate potential collection issues.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 72.8/100 reflects a generally strong earnings quality, particularly with an accrual score of 89.5/100.
  • The GMI of 0.9941 is below 1, indicating that gross margins are stable, which is a positive sign in the context of the Vietnamese market.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung, holds a significant 30.4% stake, which may provide stability but also raises concerns about potential influence over management decisions and lack of minority shareholder protection.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and assess the company's ability to manage receivables effectively. Consider a cautious approach, given the elevated risk signals, while keeping an eye on improvements in revenue quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
19.76
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-1.61
Negative
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-11.6%
Volatility
9.1%
Max Drawdown
-15.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.77P/E
P/B3.92
P/S4.25
ROE44.3%
ROA39.1%
EPS5236.47
BVPS11710.39
Gross Margin65.8%
Net Margin48.5%
D/E0.14
Current Ratio5.21
Rev Growth12.4%
Profit Growth11.1%
EV/EBITDA7.04
Div Yield7.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.5M
Charter Capital
95.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DRL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung
Inst
30.4%
2.9 trieu
Trần Thừa Hàng
Indiv
2.1%
200.900
Hà Văn Chương
Indiv
0.7%
67.550
Nguyễn Đức Trọng
Indiv
0.7%
61.300
nguyen-xuan-dung
Indiv
0.4%
40.090
Phạm Thị Bích Nhung
Indiv
0.4%
40.000
Trần Kỳ Sơn
Indiv
0.4%
40.000
Nguyễn Thị Sự
Indiv
0.3%
30.000
nguyen-thanh-vinh
Indiv
0.3%
30.000
Tăng Tấn Ngân
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Trần Kỳ Nhạc
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Hồ Thăng Thu
Indiv
0.2%
20.000
Lâm Uyên
Indiv
0.2%
15.000
Trần Kỳ Hải
Indiv
0.1%
13.100
Phạm Đức Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
12.600
Trần Cao Hớn
Indiv
0.1%
12.000
nguyen-thanh
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Lê Kim Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
nguyen-son
Indiv
0.1%
10.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Xuân Dũng0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lâm Uyên0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Đức Hùng0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Hoàng Thị Thu Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Đức
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Đình Thanh Tuấn
Phó Giám đốc
Trần Thanh Hà
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phan Thanh Sơn
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Vương
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Minh Tiến
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Vũ Thị Kiều Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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