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Utilities sector

SBA

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Sông Ba
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
28.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
36.809
Current
28.500
Gap
+29.1%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend4.26%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS1.800
Payout ratio71.2%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
1.800
Base Growth
4.26%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
36.809
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SBA

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

77
Good
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
89
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2020

-1.76
Elevated
DSRI
1.745
GMI
1.196
AQI
0.547
SGI
1.176
DEPI
0.903
SGAI
0.831
TATA
-0.013
LVGI
1.013

SBA exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.7639, indicating it is close to the threshold for potential earnings manipulation. While the earnings quality score of 76.5 suggests a reasonable level of reliability, the high DSRI of 1.7453 and low revenue quality score of 0.0 raise concerns about revenue recognition practices.

Red Flags
  • High DSRI of 1.7453 indicates potential issues with inventory management or sales growth outpacing cash flow.
  • Low revenue quality score of 0.0 suggests significant concerns regarding the sustainability of reported revenues.
Positive Signals
  • Strong earnings quality metrics with an accrual score of 94.8/100 and cash conversion score of 96.8/100 indicate effective cash management.
  • Institutional ownership of 39.1% by Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung may provide stability and oversight.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with 39.1% held by a state-owned enterprise, may lead to potential conflicts of interest and limit minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the implications of high inventory levels. A cautious approach is advised, potentially waiting for clearer signals of operational stability before increasing exposure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
11.08
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.40
Negative
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+0.8%
Volatility
16.8%
Max Drawdown
-10.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.11P/E
P/B1.63
P/S4.34
ROE16.8%
ROA15.1%
EPS2813.78
BVPS17405.61
Gross Margin60.9%
Net Margin42.9%
D/E0.10
Current Ratio2.47
Rev Growth50.2%
Profit Growth49.9%
EV/EBITDA6.20
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
60.5M
Charter Capital
604.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SBA — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung
Inst
39.1%
23.6 trieu
Phạm Thị Thu Trang
Indiv
0.4%
26.250
Phạm Phong
Indiv
0.3%
195.175
Nguyễn Trọng Bình
Indiv
0.2%
105.000
Đặng Ngọc Chương
Indiv
0.2%
90.870
thái văn thắng
Indiv
0.1%
84.000
nguyen-huu-tam
Indiv
0.1%
60.527
Board & Management
Phạm Phong0.3%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Nam Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Châu Hiếu Thiện
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quang Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Thế Duy
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phan Thị Anh Đào
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Luận
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Phan Đình Thạnh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Kỹ thuật
Huỳnh Thị Long
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hà Anh Vũ
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Nguyễn Võ Hiền Trang
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Thái Hồng Quân
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thái Hùng
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đỗ Đạt Quang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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