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Utilities sector

SEB

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Điện Miền Trung
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
45.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
63.751
Current
45.000
Gap
+41.7%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend4.41%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS3.100
Payout ratio73.8%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
3.100
Base Growth
4.41%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
63.751
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SEB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

72
Good
Accrual Quality
94
Cash Conversion
74
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
94
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.94
Low Risk
DSRI
0.800
GMI
1.073
AQI
1.019
SGI
0.822
DEPI
0.926
SGAI
1.185
TATA
-0.050
LVGI
0.642

The Beneish M-Score of -2.9357 indicates that SEB is not likely to be manipulating earnings, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal some concerns, particularly with revenue recognition and receivables, which could indicate potential risks in revenue reporting.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 67.2/100 indicates moderate risk, particularly with an eq_revenue score of 0.0/100, suggesting a lack of reliable revenue recognition.
  • SGAI at 1.1845 is above 1, indicating that selling, general, and administrative expenses are growing faster than revenue, which may signal inefficiencies.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.8001 suggests that inventory is being managed effectively, as it is below 1, indicating lower risk of overstatement.
  • The eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100 indicates excellent cash conversion, suggesting that the company is effectively turning its revenues into cash.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with the top two shareholders holding 50.2% of shares, may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest. However, institutional ownership at 24% provides some level of oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider the potential impact of concentrated ownership on governance. It may be prudent to wait for improved earnings quality metrics before making significant investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
25.52
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.07
Negative
Composite
61
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-1.9%
Volatility
27.4%
Max Drawdown
-16.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.75P/E
P/B3.04
P/S5.28
ROE26.0%
ROA18.6%
EPS4075.07
BVPS15774.12
Gross Margin64.3%
Net Margin44.9%
D/E0.06
Current Ratio6.25
Rev Growth13.5%
Profit Growth11.5%
EV/EBITDA7.27
Div Yield7.3%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
32.0M
Charter Capital
320.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SEB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đinh Thu Thủy
Indiv
25.2%
8.1 trieu
Đinh Quang Chiến
Indiv
25.0%
8.0 trieu
Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung
Inst
24.0%
7.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Điện lực 3
Inst
24.0%
4.8 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Năng lượng Bitexco
Inst
11.5%
3.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần SJ Group
Inst
3.9%
784.200
Trần Quang Hiển
Indiv
1.8%
363.140
nguyen-thi-mai
Indiv
1.2%
373.796
Nguyễn Minh Tiến
Indiv
0.3%
101.920
Phạm Văn Dũng
Indiv
0.2%
45.000
Phạm Thị Bích Nhung
Indiv
0.2%
54.000
Thái Như Quỳnh
Indiv
0.2%
51.200
Ngô Đức Trung
Indiv
0.1%
23.300
Board & Management
Đinh Thu Thủy25.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Quang Chiến25.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Tiến0.3%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Hoài Nam
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Vũ Quang Sáng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Giang Nam
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Bạch Đức Huyến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thư
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Thị Phương Lan
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Lữ Thị Chinh
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty/Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Lê Quang Đạo
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Kỳ Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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