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Utilities sector

PIC

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Điện lực 3
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Sản xuất & Phân phối ĐiệnCT
17.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
15.474
Current
17.000
Gap
-9.0%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend2.70%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS800
Payout ratio72.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
800
Base Growth
2.70%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
15.474
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PIC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

75
Good
Accrual Quality
73
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.25
Moderate
DSRI
0.739
GMI
0.930
AQI
2.395
SGI
1.332
DEPI
0.863
SGAI
1.161
TATA
-0.067
LVGI
1.003

PIC exhibits several concerning indicators of potential financial manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -2.254, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 74.7 suggests relatively strong cash conversion and receivables management, indicating some operational strengths.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.254 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for eq_revenue suggests severe issues with revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of cash flows.
  • High receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests robust collection processes.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung holding 74.1%, which may lead to governance risks and reduced accountability.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor financial disclosures and operational performance, particularly regarding revenue recognition practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
6.08
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.24
Negative
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-8.6%
Volatility
24.8%
Max Drawdown
-35.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
13.72P/E
P/B1.46
P/S3.56
ROE10.8%
ROA9.2%
EPS1210.10
BVPS11355.42
Gross Margin47.7%
Net Margin25.9%
D/E0.17
Current Ratio2.50
Rev Growth33.2%
Profit Growth25.3%
EV/EBITDA6.35
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
33.3M
Charter Capital
333.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Sub-industry
Sản xuất & Phân phối Điện
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PIC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công Ty Điện Lực Miền Trung
Inst
74.1%
24.7 trieu
Ngân hàng Thương mại Cổ phần An Bình
Inst
5.2%
1.7 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Điện lực Khánh Hòa
Inst
4.1%
1.4 trieu
Ngô Tấn Hồng
Indiv
0.1%
39.881
Phạm Thị Thu Nga
Indiv
0.1%
33.426
Board & Management
Ngô Tấn Hồng0.1%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Lương Mính
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Dương Long
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Đặng Thị Thu Nga
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Trần Đăng Hiền
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Minh Hoài
Thành viên Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ/Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Nhất Thắng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trọng Vĩnh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Huỳnh Thị Kim Hoàng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Thị Minh Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Trung Khoa
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Thị Hương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ
Computed 12/04/2026
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