NDW
UtilitiesValuation Breakdown
The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NDW
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
NDW exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -1.736, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality metrics reveal significant weaknesses, particularly in receivables and accruals, which could pose risks to financial integrity.
- High DSRI of 2.3006 indicates potential issues with inventory management, suggesting overstocking or declining sales.
- Low eq_receivables score of 6.0/100 raises concerns about the quality of receivables, indicating potential collection issues.
- Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests effective cash management and liquidity.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.736 is above the manipulation threshold, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation.
The ownership structure is heavily influenced by state and institutional shareholders, with 49.5% held by the local government, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced accountability.
Investors should closely monitor NDW's receivables and inventory management while considering the strong cash conversion as a positive signal. A cautious approach is advised, given the elevated risk level.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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