GMA
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GMA
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
GMA exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.6569, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 78.0/100 reveals significant weaknesses in revenue and margin metrics, which could pose risks to future profitability.
- SGI of 1.3094 indicates aggressive sales growth that may not be sustainable.
- eq_margin of 34.5/100 suggests weak profitability relative to revenue, raising concerns about operational efficiency.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.6569 suggests low risk of earnings manipulation.
- High cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates strong cash flow management.
The ownership structure is relatively concentrated with the top five shareholders holding 68.0% of the company, which may lead to governance risks if decisions favor major stakeholders over minority interests.
Investors should monitor GMA's revenue growth closely due to the elevated SGI and consider a cautious approach given the weak margin metrics. A deeper analysis of operational efficiency and strategic initiatives to improve profitability is advisable.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
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