TNI
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TNI
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2024
The Beneish M-Score of -2.6534 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 43.0/100, particularly low scores in revenue and margin metrics, raises concerns about the sustainability of earnings.
- Earnings Quality Score of 43.0/100 indicates significant issues with revenue recognition and profit margins, with scores of 0.0/100 in eq_margin and eq_revenue.
- GMI of 2.5428 suggests a potential decline in gross margins, indicating possible operational inefficiencies.
- DSRI of 0.5642 indicates a healthy inventory management relative to sales, which is a positive sign for operational efficiency.
- Receivables score of 100.0/100 suggests effective collection processes, indicating strong cash flow management.
The top shareholders are individual investors with relatively small stakes, which may lead to a lack of alignment in long-term strategic interests and potential volatility in governance.
Investors should closely monitor earnings quality metrics and operational performance, especially focusing on revenue generation and margin improvement strategies. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer signals of sustainable growth emerge.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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