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Construction sector

HAN

Construction
Tổng Công ty Xây dựng Hà Nội - CTCP
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
8.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.091
Current
8.800
Gap
-30.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
23.88%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.94%
x
D/(D+E)
76.12%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
9.787
50%DCF Value
2.396
Blended Intrinsic
6.091
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — HAN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

53
Fair
Accrual Quality
88
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
77
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.87
Moderate
DSRI
0.958
GMI
1.760
AQI
0.822
SGI
1.257
DEPI
0.607
SGAI
1.014
TATA
0.031
LVGI
1.022

The Beneish M-Score of -1.8703 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 53.4 suggests significant issues, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8703 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0/100 highlights severe issues with cash flow relative to reported earnings.
  • SGI of 1.2573 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables.
  • DSRI of 0.9576 suggests that inventory levels are well managed relative to sales.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming state ownership at 98.8% may lead to a lack of accountability and transparency, increasing the risk of mismanagement or manipulation.

Recommendation

Investors should proceed with caution, closely monitoring cash flow statements and revenue recognition practices, and consider diversifying exposure due to elevated risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.77
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.35
Negative
Composite
33
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-11.5%
Volatility
45.7%
Max Drawdown
-28.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
23.59P/E
P/B0.81
P/S0.37
ROE3.5%
ROA0.8%
EPS365.91
BVPS10607.30
Gross Margin4.1%
Net Margin1.6%
D/E3.20
Current Ratio1.13
Rev Growth25.7%
Profit Growth-3.0%
EV/EBITDA26.72
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
141.0M
Charter Capital
1410.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for HAN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Bộ Xây Dựng
State
98.8%
139.4 trieu
Nghiêm Sỹ Minh
Indiv
0.1%
203.100
Board & Management
Bùi Xuân Dũng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Xuân Hồng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Mai Trung Huấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Đỗ Quý
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Mạnh Hùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Võ Thị Thu Hương
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Ngọc Quang
Kế toán trưởng/Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đậu Văn Diện
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Công Thuỵ
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Cương
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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