LLM
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — LLM
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
The Beneish M-Score of -1.8208 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. Coupled with a low earnings quality score of 25.2/100, particularly poor cash conversion and receivables metrics, this stock presents significant red flags for potential financial misrepresentation.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.8208, indicating potential earnings manipulation.
- Earnings Quality Score of 25.2/100, with cash conversion at 1.1/100 and receivables at 0.0/100, signaling severe issues in cash flow management.
- DSRI of 1.9585 suggests a potential increase in inventory, which could indicate growth, but this is overshadowed by other metrics.
The overwhelming ownership by Bộ Xây Dựng at 97.9% raises concerns about governance and transparency, as state-owned enterprises (SOEs) often face scrutiny regarding accountability and operational efficiency.
Investors should exercise caution and consider avoiding this stock until further clarity on its financial health is provided, particularly regarding cash flow and earnings quality.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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