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Construction sector

NXT

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Sản xuất và Cung ứng vật liệu xây dựng Kon Tum
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
4.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
4.609
Current
4.400
Gap
+4.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
65.63%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.39%
x
D/(D+E)
34.37%
=
WACC
10.20%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend2.97%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
5.112
50%DCF Value
4.106
Blended Intrinsic
4.609
Value Decomposition
36%
64%
Explicit period (36%)Terminal value (64%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NXT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

71
Good
Accrual Quality
77
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
45
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

2.04
High Risk
DSRI
0.517
GMI
3.394
AQI
10.062
SGI
0.998
DEPI
1.022
SGAI
0.475
TATA
-0.058
LVGI
0.327

The Beneish M-Score of 2.0414 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 71.0 suggests reasonable performance, significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and margin metrics raise concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 2.0414 indicates potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality margin score of 45.4/100 is notably low, suggesting potential issues with profitability sustainability.
  • Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 raises significant concerns about the reliability of reported revenues.
Positive Signals
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 indicates effective cash management.
  • Low SGI of 0.9982 suggests stable sales growth, which is a positive indicator in the current market context.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant majority, which may lead to governance challenges and potential conflicts of interest among individual shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should conduct further due diligence on revenue recognition practices and consider monitoring quarterly results closely. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach to investment until clearer signals of earnings integrity emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
3.77
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.36
Negative
Composite
42
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-35.0%
Volatility
128.0%
Max Drawdown
-55.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
10.83P/E
P/B0.30
P/S0.23
ROE2.8%
ROA1.9%
EPS371.70
BVPS13323.28
Gross Margin2.8%
Net Margin2.1%
D/E0.15
Current Ratio2.46
Rev Growth-0.2%
Profit Growth-38.9%
EV/EBITDA7.69
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.6M
Charter Capital
66.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NXT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Đặng Hoàng Kim Anh
Indiv
7.0%
460.000
Nguyễn Trung Kiên
Indiv
6.3%
414.000
Nguyễn Bá Duy
Indiv
5.4%
355.000
Trần Đình Quyết
Indiv
5.0%
329.400
Phạm Thị Thủy
Indiv
5.0%
164.800
Lưu Thị San
Indiv
3.8%
250.000
Phạm Văn Lộc
Indiv
3.4%
227.200
Dương Quốc Chi
Indiv
2.0%
130.100
nguyen-quang-huy
Indiv
1.2%
80.600
Nguyễn Thị Hoàng Mai
Indiv
1.1%
70.800
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Lộc3.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Nhu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thúy Nga
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Viết Giáp
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Hoàng Văn Công
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Quang Thạch
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tuấn Linh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Thị Hằng Nga
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Dương Công Phú
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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