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Construction sector

KSQ

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần CNC Capital Việt Nam
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
15.432
Current
2.100
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
85.36%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
14.64%
=
WACC
11.35%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
50%DCF Value
15.432
Blended Intrinsic
15.432
Value Decomposition
40%
60%
Explicit period (40%)Terminal value (60%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — KSQ

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

40
Weak
Accrual Quality
58
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2015

-1.86
Moderate
DSRI
1.343
GMI
1.261
AQI
0.622
SGI
1.891
DEPI
0.000
SGAI
0.690
TATA
-0.017
LVGI
2.024

The Beneish M-Score of -1.8609 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 80.3 suggests relatively strong cash conversion and receivables management, indicating some operational strengths.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8609 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, exceeding the threshold of -1.78.
  • SGI of 1.8913 suggests aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 80.3/100 indicates strong cash conversion (100.0/100) and receivables management (100.0/100).
  • Accrual quality score of 93.1/100 suggests that the earnings reported are backed by actual cash flows.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated, with the top five shareholders holding 84.9% of the shares. This concentration increases the risk of decision-making being influenced by a few individuals, potentially leading to governance issues.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's financial disclosures and operational performance to assess the sustainability of its growth. Consider a cautious approach until there is clearer evidence of consistent earnings quality and governance practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
20.00
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.37
Negative
Composite
46
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-23.3%
Volatility
72.8%
Max Drawdown
-55.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
11.54P/E
P/B0.25
P/S22.13
ROE2.2%
ROA2.0%
EPS197.37
BVPS9023.88
Gross Margin8.6%
Net Margin191.8%
D/E0.01
Current Ratio139.91
Rev Growth-58.6%
Profit Growth233.2%
EV/EBITDA-22.15
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
30.0M
Charter Capital
300.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for KSQ — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Thị Định
Indiv
21.5%
6.4 trieu
nguyen-van-dinh
Indiv
16.7%
2.5 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Ngụ
Indiv
16.7%
2.5 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Bảo
Indiv
16.7%
2.5 trieu
Nguyễn Hồng Quang
Indiv
13.3%
2.0 trieu
NGUYỄN THỊ CHI PHƯƠNG
Indiv
11.8%
3.5 trieu
Ngô Tiến Quang Huy
Indiv
8.3%
2.5 trieu
Zhang Hua
Indiv
1.3%
191.800
Nguyễn Mạnh Cường
Indiv
1.0%
150.000
Công ty TNHH Bảo Lộc Hà Việt
Inst
1.0%
145.750
Zheng Lan Ying
Indiv
0.9%
135.600
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh
Indiv
0.1%
15.000
Lý Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
0.1%
15.000
Nguyễn Hải Đăng
Indiv
0.1%
15.000
Board & Management
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh0.1%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Triệu Văn Hợi
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Nguyễn Cẩm Tiến
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Thị Hòe
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Trọng Tính
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Thị Tâm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hồng Ngọc
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Anh Tuấn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Công Cương
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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