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Real Estate sector

NBB

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Năm Bảy Bảy
Bất động sảnCT
18.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
6.504
Current
18.500
Gap
-64.8%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
23.45%
+
Kd(1-t)
1.28%
x
D/(D+E)
76.55%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
13.008
60%DCF Value
-44.301
Blended Intrinsic
6.504
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NBB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

25
Poor
Accrual Quality
60
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
69

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.49
Elevated
DSRI
1.460
GMI
1.988
AQI
1.042
SGI
0.552
DEPI
1.524
SGAI
1.555
TATA
0.100
LVGI
1.001

NBB's Beneish M-Score of -1.4854 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 25.4/100 indicates significant concerns regarding cash conversion and receivables, which may signal underlying financial issues.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 25.4/100 indicates poor earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion at 0.0/100.
  • High DSRI of 1.4597 suggests that accounts receivable are growing faster than revenue, which may indicate potential collection issues.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.4854 is above the manipulation threshold, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong institutional ownership with top shareholders holding over 80% of shares, which may provide stability.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership among a few institutions (over 80%) may lead to governance risks, as minority shareholders have limited influence on corporate decisions.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor cash flow metrics and receivables management, while considering the strong institutional backing as a stabilizing factor in their investment decision.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.55
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.75
Negative
Composite
20
Poor
Price Risk
Momentum
-14.5%
Volatility
25.4%
Max Drawdown
-34.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
163.09P/E
P/B0.99
P/S50.65
ROE0.6%
ROA0.1%
EPS110.37
BVPS18091.51
Gross Margin17.5%
Net Margin31.1%
D/E3.27
Current Ratio1.60
Rev Growth-44.8%
Profit Growth1349.6%
EV/EBITDA-2884.68
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
100.5M
Charter Capital
1004.8B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NBB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty TNHH Thương mại Đầu tư CII
Inst
45.1%
45.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Hạ tầng Kỹ thuật Thành phố Hồ Chí Minh
Inst
21.9%
22.0 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV Dịch Vụ và Đầu tư CII
Inst
12.8%
12.8 trieu
Phan Diệp Huyền Chi
Indiv
6.7%
4.3 trieu
Deutsche Asset Management (Asia) Limited
Inst
5.6%
5.2 trieu
Kallang Limited
Inst
5.2%
4.8 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Cẩm Viên
Indiv
5.1%
4.9 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hiền
Indiv
4.9%
5.0 trieu
Công ty TNHH Tm-dv Đại Dũng
Inst
4.9%
4.9 trieu
Nguyễn Văn Thịnh
Indiv
4.5%
4.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Nhịp cầu Địa ốc
Inst
4.1%
3.8 trieu
Vietnam Holding Ltd
Inst
4.1%
2.4 trieu
Creed Investments VN-1 Ltd.
Inst
3.1%
2.9 trieu
Công ty TNHH Thương Mại Và Dịch Vụ Thép Mỹ
Inst
3.1%
3.1 trieu
Võ Dư Ngọc Trân
Indiv
3.1%
1.8 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
2.0%
1.9 trieu
amersham industries limited
Inst
1.9%
1.8 trieu
Tổng Công ty Xây Dựng Công Trình Giao Thông 5-ctcp
State
1.8%
1.1 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán Rồng Việt
Inst
1.0%
604.533
Nguyễn Mậu Uyên Thao
Indiv
1.0%
1.0 trieu
Phan Ngọc Trí
Indiv
0.9%
508.460
Trần Quang Trình
Indiv
0.8%
450.000
Nguyễn Thị Thu Hoa
Indiv
0.6%
350.000
Hoàng Thị Hòa
Indiv
0.6%
562.500
Grinling International Limited
Inst
0.6%
515.000
Hoàng Hữu Tương
Indiv
0.5%
550.000
Nguyễn Thị Cát Tiên
Indiv
0.4%
250.000
Đoàn Quốc Thông
Indiv
0.3%
169.000
Nguyễn Viết Nam Anh
Indiv
0.2%
90.000
Trần Văn Hữu
Indiv
0.1%
81.500
Nguyễn Phi Thường
Indiv
0.1%
100.000
Board & Management
Đoàn Tường Triệu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quỳnh Hương
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trương Hải Đăng Khoa
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Lê Quốc Bình
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Kiều Diễm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Mai Thanh Trúc
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Bá Lân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lưu Hải Ca
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Chính
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Quỳnh Điệp
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Trung Hiếu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Minh
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Quý Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Lê Hoàng Diễm
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Computed 12/04/2026
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