VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Construction sector

PCM

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Vật liệu Xây dựng Bưu điện
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
11.600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.672
Current
11.600
Gap
-33.9%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
77.98%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.40%
x
D/(D+E)
22.02%
=
WACC
10.92%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
7.150
50%DCF Value
8.195
Blended Intrinsic
7.672
Value Decomposition
38%
62%
Explicit period (38%)Terminal value (62%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PCM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

36
Weak
Accrual Quality
29
Cash Conversion
36
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-4.73
Low Risk
DSRI
0.804
GMI
0.110
AQI
0.000
SGI
1.156
DEPI
0.991
SGAI
1.853
TATA
-0.216
LVGI
1.544

The Beneish M-Score of -4.7298 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 36.2/100, particularly the low scores in revenue and margin quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 36.2/100 indicates significant issues with earnings sustainability, particularly with revenue and margin quality both at 0.0/100.
  • SGAI of 1.8530 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which may not translate to revenue growth.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -4.7298 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Cao Thanh Trường, holds 50.0% of the shares, which poses a significant risk of concentrated control and potential conflicts of interest affecting minority shareholders.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's earnings quality metrics and consider a thorough review of cash flow statements before making investment decisions. Engaging with management regarding their growth strategy and spending efficiency may provide further insights.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
2.64
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.08
Positive
Composite
37
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.4%
Volatility
188.1%
Max Drawdown
-64.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
-7.34P/E
P/B1.64
P/S0.84
ROE-20.1%
ROA-14.6%
EPS-2248.33
BVPS10082.73
Gross Margin19.0%
Net Margin-11.4%
D/E0.49
Current Ratio2.51
Rev Growth15.6%
Profit Growth10.0%
EV/EBITDA-10.33
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
4.0M
Charter Capital
40.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PCM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Cao Thanh Trường
Indiv
50.0%
2.0 trieu
Nguyễn Mạnh Trung
Indiv
11.0%
440.100
Vũ Túy Quỳnh
Indiv
5.0%
199.900
Nguyễn Thúy Hạnh
Indiv
5.0%
199.900
Lê Anh Quân
Indiv
3.1%
124.675
Hoàng Thị Minh
Indiv
0.9%
36.750
Đào Huy Trường
Indiv
0.6%
25.525
Nguyễn Thúy Hằng
Indiv
0.4%
17.700
Bùi Văn Xã
Indiv
0.3%
10.325
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh
Indiv
0.2%
8.550
Cao Sơn Bắc
Indiv
0.2%
7.575
Trương Thị Dung
Indiv
0.2%
7.400
Nguyễn Thị Thu
Indiv
0.1%
6.045
Phan Thị Thanh Huyền
Indiv
0.1%
5.625
Hoàng Thị Hương Thủy
Indiv
0.1%
5.250
Board & Management
Lê Anh Quân3.1%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Huy Trường0.6%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Văn Xã0.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Anh0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Thị Thanh Huyền0.1%
Kế toán trưởng
Hoàng Thị Hương Thủy0.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Hội
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Thúy Hà
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →