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Utilities sector

PWS

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp thoát nước Phú Yên
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
13.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
13.692
Current
13.100
Gap
+4.5%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend1.11%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS750
Payout ratio90.3%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
750
Base Growth
1.11%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
13.692
Value Decomposition
26%
74%
Explicit period (26%)Terminal value (74%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PWS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

65
Fair
Accrual Quality
75
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
48
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.32
Moderate
DSRI
1.143
GMI
1.056
AQI
1.773
SGI
0.979
DEPI
0.938
SGAI
1.317
TATA
-0.062
LVGI
0.826

PWS exhibits several red flags indicating potential earnings manipulation, as suggested by a Beneish M-Score of -2.322, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the company maintains a relatively strong earnings quality score of 64.6, indicating some level of financial robustness.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.322 indicates potential earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78.
  • SGAI of 1.3172 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which could be a concern for sustainability.
  • EQ margin score of 47.9/100 indicates low profitability relative to revenue, raising concerns about operational efficiency.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 64.6/100 reflects a decent level of earnings quality, particularly strong cash conversion at 100.0/100.
  • Top institutional ownership at 59.6% indicates a strong backing from a significant player, which may provide stability.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by Công ty Cổ phần Nước Aqua One (59.6%) and the state (38.4%) could lead to governance risks, particularly in decision-making processes that may not align with minority shareholder interests.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor PWS for signs of earnings manipulation and operational inefficiencies. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach, considering both the potential for growth and the associated risks.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
7.91
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.20
Positive
Composite
62
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+20.8%
Volatility
67.5%
Max Drawdown
-31.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
17.82P/E
P/B1.08
P/S3.50
ROE6.0%
ROA5.4%
EPS684.48
BVPS11277.40
Gross Margin45.7%
Net Margin19.6%
D/E0.09
Current Ratio5.38
Rev Growth-2.1%
Profit Growth-32.3%
EV/EBITDA8.56
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
38.4M
Charter Capital
383.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PWS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Nước Aqua One
Inst
59.6%
22.9 trieu
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Phú Yên
State
38.4%
14.7 trieu
nguyen-tan-thuan
Indiv
0.1%
49.558
Board & Management
Nguyễn Tấn Thuần0.1%
Phó Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Thu
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Phú Liệu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Phan Trọng Thư
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Xuân Tựu
Kế toán trưởng
Tạ Bình Nguyên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Minh Sơn
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Đức Hoàng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đỗ Hoàng Long
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Đỗ Thị Kiều Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
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