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Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Ninh Thuận

VietnamUtilitiesĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtNước & Khí đốtUPCOMCT
23.200
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Comparison requires review
+16.6%Calibrated value vs last close
Last close (VND)
23.200
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
27.041

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Why it needs review

  • Trading liquidity is below the comparison threshold.

This estimate remains visible for checking its calculation. Its inputs require review before using it in a stock comparison. The model comparison behind this value needs review. The estimate does not remove the data limitations listed above.

Model reliability
Low
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
Not assessed
A separate peer-outperformance probability is unavailable for this valuation.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt→Utility
Classified as utility because ICB sector “Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt” maps to the utility group.
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+).

Technical details
Why this model

Regulated utilities have capped growth but high, stable dividend payouts. DDM is the canonical valuation method when dividends are the primary return to shareholders. Many utilities follow stated or regulated payout policies, so actual dividends are a direct input.

How it works

Uses the median cash dividend of the last 3 years from corporate events; a company with no dividend record gets 50% of its median EPS. 3 stages: high growth (3yr at estimated rate), transition (3yr linear decay), terminal (perpetual at the sector's long-run growth rate). Discounts at cost of equity (CAPM). A payout above 40% of earnings is needed for high model reliability.

Best for

Regulated utilities, power companies, and water suppliers with stable, predictable dividend policies.

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.820
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend10.00%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS→1.790
Payout ratio→61.9%
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→23.200
Calibrated value vs last close→+16.6%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
27.041
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Growth rate10.00%growth method: fundamental equity blend
Dividend per share1.790dps source: eventspayout ratio: 61.93
Feeds valuation:GrowthModel inputs
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·149272250219214211182181141152168169151
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)
·12711111696121814988
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)
·9517019816716416014013291105130134120
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·32223032323026241818181819
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·0.080.040.020.030.030.030.030.20.20.100.10.030.09
Net Inventories
·66669871112131183
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·66669871112131183
Other current assets
·43533422230.020.31
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.30.1
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·423114131147159181207200221222224234198
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·39084101121146173199191212216214227193
Tangible fixed assets
·39083101121146172198190210215213226190
Intagible fixed assets
·0.070.100.020.20.40.60.710.90.20.40.09
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·0000000000020
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·0000000000020
Other non-current assets
·4444567777755
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·4444567777755
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·572385380366373392389381362375392403349
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·288101115127160197215231231256279294276
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·63494845598061624746519778
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·26131415151515151515151515
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·0.10.030.310.90.60.20.20.060.090.10.087
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·225526782102117154169184210229197198
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)
·2083447617692107122137152167182198
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)
·28428426623921219517315013111811310973
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·28428426623921219517315013111811310973
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·95959595959595959587878759
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·12298765946331917138410
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·65899283696658372123222114
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·572385380366373392389381362375392403349
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·95959595959595959587878759

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
63
Fair
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
86
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
66

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −2.38 · 45th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▲ +0.42
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
1.410
GMI
1.119
AQI
0.735
SGI
1.036
DEPI
2.678
SGAI
1.178
TATA
−0.007
LVGI
2.213

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.0749th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
0.0%3rd pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them. The company trades on UPCoM, where these tests do not apply.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
4.34
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.11
Negative
Composite
49
30 to 49
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✓No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.89×Interest Burden1.00×Op. Margin0.33×Turnover0.39×Leverage2.02=ROE23.0%
Price Risk
Momentum
−7.8%
Volatility
73.8%
Max Drawdown
−25.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.96P/E
P/B
2.06
P/S
2.64
ROE
23.0%
ROA
13.6%
EPS
6.881
BVPS
29.886
Gross Margin
38.4%
Net Margin
29.5%
D/E
0.82
Current Ratio
2.38
EV/EBITDA
6.89
Div Yield
9.8%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
24.9M
Charter Capital
249B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a stock research tool. Its results are calculated from public financial data with published formulas. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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