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Utilities sector

NNT

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Cấp nước Ninh Thuận
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
63.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
106.758
Current
63.500
Gap
+68.1%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

1
Cost of Equity (Ke)
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.600
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
8.70%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental equity blend7.24%
3
Model Inputs
DPS source:Actual dividends
DPS4.700
Payout ratio63.8%
4
Valuation
Dividends Per Share
4.700
Base Growth
7.24%
Cost of Equity
8.70%
Terminal Growth
3.50%
DDM Value
106.758
Value Decomposition
25%
75%
Explicit period (25%)Terminal value (75%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — NNT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

88
Good
Accrual Quality
95
Cash Conversion
86
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
73
Revenue Quality
85

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.80
Low Risk
DSRI
0.694
GMI
0.947
AQI
0.979
SGI
1.066
DEPI
0.931
SGAI
1.224
TATA
-0.013
LVGI
0.869

NNT exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.8035, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the high concentration of state ownership poses potential governance risks, particularly in the context of Vietnamese SOEs.

Red Flags
  • High ownership concentration with state entities holding 52.1%, which may lead to conflicts of interest and lack of accountability.
  • SGAI at 1.2237 suggests aggressive spending on sales and marketing, which could indicate potential inefficiencies or overextension.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 87.9/100 reflects strong overall earnings quality, particularly with an eq_receivables score of 100.0/100, indicating effective management of receivables.
Ownership Risk

The significant state ownership (52.1%) raises concerns about potential political influence and lack of independent oversight, which could affect decision-making and transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor NNT's financial disclosures and governance practices while considering a cautious approach due to ownership risks, despite the positive earnings quality indicators.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
8/9
Strong
Z-Score
5.23
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.30
Positive
Composite
78
Strong
Price Risk
Momentum
+16.2%
Volatility
62.3%
Max Drawdown
-26.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
8.60P/E
P/B2.01
P/S2.68
ROE28.5%
ROA20.5%
EPS8263.14
BVPS29961.31
Gross Margin43.0%
Net Margin36.7%
D/E0.36
Current Ratio5.56
Rev Growth6.6%
Profit Growth8.9%
EV/EBITDA5.38
Div Yield10.1%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
9.5M
Charter Capital
94.9B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Nước
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for NNT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Khánh Hòa
State
52.1%
4.9 trieu
Ủy Ban Nhân Dân Tỉnh Ninh Thuận
Indiv
52.1%
4.9 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần - Tổng công ty Nước - Môi trường Bình Dương
Inst
24.8%
2.4 trieu
Công ty TNHH Cấp Nước Đông Mỹ Hải
Inst
1.1%
100.000
Lâm Anh Toàn
Indiv
0.5%
47.200
Nguyễn Ngọc Chánh
Indiv
0.3%
22.000
Board & Management
Đinh Viết Sơn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Quốc Quyền
Phó Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Hữu Hùng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Đinh Ẩn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Vũ Đình Trúc Vi
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thu Hòa
Kế toán trưởng
Bá Bạch Thủy Tiên
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đinh Lê Ngọc Trâm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Hữu Sơn
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Ngọc Thoại
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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