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Cyclicals sector

RTB

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Cao su Tân Biên
Hóa chấtCT
28.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Fairly Valued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
27.366
Current
28.500
Gap
-4.0%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHóa chấtCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hóa chất" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA337.11B
Fair EV/EBITDA5.9x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
337.11B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
5.9x
-
Net Debt
-430.18B
=
Equity Value
27.366
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — RTB

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

53
Fair
Accrual Quality
83
Cash Conversion
59
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
88
Revenue Quality
16

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.56
Elevated
DSRI
1.646
GMI
1.001
AQI
0.966
SGI
1.040
DEPI
0.936
SGAI
0.997
TATA
0.043
LVGI
0.652

RTB exhibits a moderate risk level with a Beneish M-Score of -1.5557, indicating a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation. However, the earnings quality score of 52.9/100, particularly low receivables quality, raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.

Red Flags
  • High DSRI of 1.6465 suggests potential issues with inventory management or sales growth not matching receivables growth.
  • Extremely low receivables quality score of 0.0/100 indicates significant concerns regarding the collectability of receivables, which could affect cash flow.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.5557 is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong earnings quality score of 82.9/100 for accruals indicates that the company is managing its earnings well in terms of accrual accounting.
Ownership Risk

The overwhelming ownership by Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Cao su Việt Nam at 98.5% poses a risk of limited minority shareholder influence and potential governance issues.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor RTB's receivables and inventory management practices while considering a cautious approach due to the concentrated ownership structure.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
7.18
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.11
Positive
Composite
49
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
+7.7%
Volatility
34.0%
Max Drawdown
-36.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
6.66P/E
P/B1.30
P/S2.11
ROE20.5%
ROA12.3%
EPS4429.52
BVPS22738.57
Gross Margin40.8%
Net Margin31.7%
D/E0.09
Current Ratio4.35
Rev Growth4.0%
Profit Growth6.1%
EV/EBITDA3.98
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
87.9M
Charter Capital
879.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hóa chất
Industry (ICB L3)
Hóa chất
Sub-industry
Nhựa, cao su & sợi
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for RTB — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Cao su Việt Nam
Inst
98.5%
86.6 trieu
Board & Management
Trương Văn Cư
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lâm Thanh Phú
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Tấn Phong
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Bích Lợi
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Nguyễn Duy Sinh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Hoàng Quốc Hưng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Văn Toàn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Sang
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lâm Quang Phúc
Kế toán trưởng
Đỗ Quốc Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Hoàng Văn Vinh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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