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Consumer sector

SFN

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Dệt lưới Sài Gòn
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
15.800
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
28.797
Current
15.800
Gap
+82.3%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
91.84%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.34%
x
D/(D+E)
8.16%
=
WACC
11.08%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.14%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF5.58B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
5.58B
Growth Rate
5.14%
WACC
11.08%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
28.797
Value Decomposition
48%
52%
Explicit period (48%)Terminal value (52%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SFN

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

80
Good
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
93
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2017

-2.22
Moderate
DSRI
0.944
GMI
1.069
AQI
0.951
SGI
1.120
DEPI
0.996
SGAI
1.046
TATA
0.034
LVGI
0.894

The Beneish M-Score of -2.2208 suggests a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 72.5 indicates potential concerns, particularly with revenue recognition, which scored 0.0.

Red Flags
  • The SGI of 1.1204 indicates that sales growth is outpacing asset growth, which could suggest aggressive revenue recognition practices.
  • The eq_revenue score of 0.0/100 raises significant concerns about the quality of revenue reported, indicating possible manipulation or aggressive accounting practices.
Positive Signals
  • The DSRI of 0.9437 suggests that the company is managing its inventory efficiently relative to sales, which is a positive sign.
  • The high eq_accrual score of 86.3/100 indicates that the company is generating a significant portion of its earnings through cash flow, which is a positive indicator of earnings quality.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Tổng Công ty Nông Nghiệp Sài Gòn, holds a substantial 40.0% stake, which may lead to potential conflicts of interest or influence over corporate governance. The high concentration of ownership could also limit minority shareholder protections.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue recognition practices and consider conducting further due diligence on the company's accounting policies. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach until more transparency is provided regarding revenue generation.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.09
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.04
Negative
Composite
69
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-3.4%
Volatility
93.5%
Max Drawdown
-34.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.40P/E
P/B0.71
P/S0.40
ROE13.7%
ROA10.4%
EPS3706.59
BVPS28164.92
Gross Margin15.9%
Net Margin7.5%
D/E0.55
Current Ratio8.62
Rev Growth4.0%
Profit Growth31.5%
EV/EBITDA3.98
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.0M
Charter Capital
30.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Nhà cung cấp thiết bị
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SFN — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Nông Nghiệp Sài Gòn
Inst
40.0%
1.2 trieu
trương công minh
Indiv
11.2%
320.500
Cao Thị Thúy
Indiv
7.8%
232.500
Hàng Thị Ngọc
Indiv
0.9%
27.000
Võ Thị Hùng
Indiv
0.8%
22.500
Lê Thị Phương Thảo
Indiv
0.7%
21.305
Phạm Thị Cúc
Indiv
0.5%
15.300
Đoàn Văn Dậu
Indiv
0.5%
15.000
Võ Văn Thành
Indiv
0.4%
12.790
Lê Hữu Phước
Indiv
0.4%
12.300
Huỳnh Thị Thanh Nghị
Indiv
0.2%
6.445
Lâm Thống Nhứt
Indiv
0.1%
4.000
Board & Management
Cao Thị Thúy7.8%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Cúc0.5%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Hữu Phước0.4%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Lâm Thống Nhứt0.1%
Phó Giám đốc Sản xuất
Nguyễn Văn Khai
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Minh Trường
Kế toán trưởng
Bùi Văn My
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Bắc Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Lâm Xuân Thanh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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