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Consumer sector

PNJ

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Vàng bạc Đá quý Phú Nhuận
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng/Hàng cá nhânCT
109.900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
126.623
Current
109.900
Gap
+15.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng cá nhân & Gia dụngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
65.82%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.36%
x
D/(D+E)
34.18%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend10.72%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF2112.92B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
2112.92B
Growth Rate
10.72%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
126.623
Value Decomposition
41%
59%
Explicit period (41%)Terminal value (59%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — PNJ

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

43
Weak
Accrual Quality
50
Cash Conversion
1
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
69
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.60
Low Risk
DSRI
0.423
GMI
0.801
AQI
0.900
SGI
0.925
DEPI
0.952
SGAI
1.125
TATA
0.139
LVGI
0.988

PNJ exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.5968, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 42.9/100, particularly low cash conversion (0.8/100) and revenue quality (0.0/100), raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings quality score of 42.9/100 indicates potential issues with earnings sustainability.
  • Cash conversion rate at 0.8/100 suggests significant challenges in converting earnings into actual cash flows.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5968 is well below the manipulation threshold, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure shows a significant presence of institutional investors, which can provide stability; however, the largest shareholders hold only 6% each, indicating a lack of concentrated control that may lead to governance challenges.

Recommendation

Monitor cash flow performance closely, particularly given the low cash conversion rate. Consider diversifying investments or engaging with management to understand strategies for improving earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
6.17
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.63
Positive
Composite
51
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+15.9%
Volatility
38.1%
Max Drawdown
-34.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
14.48P/E
P/B3.09
P/S1.17
ROE23.1%
ROA15.1%
EPS8289.43
BVPS38895.48
Gross Margin22.0%
Net Margin8.1%
D/E0.52
Current Ratio2.71
Rev Growth-7.4%
Profit Growth33.9%
EV/EBITDA12.33
Div Yield0.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
341.3M
Charter Capital
3413.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng cá nhân & Gia dụng
Industry (ICB L3)
Hàng cá nhân
Sub-industry
Hàng cá nhân
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for PNJ — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Quản Lý Quỹ đầu tư Dragon Capital Việt Nam
Inst
6.0%
20.1 trieu
t. rowe price associates, inc
Inst
6.0%
20.2 trieu
Lgm Investments Limited
Inst
5.0%
4.9 trieu
Route One Investment Company
Inst
4.8%
5.2 trieu
Sprucegrove Investment Management Ltd
Inst
4.8%
16.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Quản lý quỹ VinaCapital
Inst
4.3%
10.5 trieu
Vinacapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund Ltd.
Inst
3.8%
12.3 trieu
Trần Phương Ngọc Hà
Indiv
3.6%
12.3 trieu
Cao Thị Ngọc Dung
Indiv
2.9%
10.0 trieu
Vietnam Investment Limited
Inst
2.9%
10.0 trieu
Trần Phương Ngọc Giao
Indiv
2.9%
9.8 trieu
Cao Ngọc Duy
Indiv
2.6%
9.0 trieu
Vietnam Enterprise Investments Limited
Inst
2.4%
8.1 trieu
T.ROWE PRICE INTERNATIONAL DISCOVERY FUND
Inst
2.2%
7.5 trieu
Deutsche Asset Management (Asia) Limited
Inst
2.1%
2.1 trieu
Venner Group Limited
Inst
2.0%
2.0 trieu
Phạm Thúy Lan Anh
Indiv
1.9%
3.1 trieu
CTBC Vietnam Equity Fund
Inst
1.4%
4.6 trieu
Norges Bank
Inst
1.2%
4.1 trieu
Vietnam Holding Ltd
Inst
1.2%
2.7 trieu
Công ty TNHH MTV Chứng Khoán Ngân hàng Số Vikki
Inst
1.2%
1.2 trieu
Lê Hữu Hạnh
Indiv
1.0%
2.5 trieu
Hanoi Investments Holdings Limited
Inst
1.0%
3.4 trieu
Ngân hàng Deutsche Aktiengesellschaft
Inst
0.9%
881.670
T.ROWE PRICE GLOBAL EQUITY FUND
Inst
0.9%
3.0 trieu
Công ty TNHH Quản lý Quỹ đầu tư Chứng khoán Đông Á
Inst
0.9%
847.254
Nguyễn Vũ Phan
Indiv
0.8%
1.3 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư & Thương mại Việt Tín
Inst
0.8%
809.373
Panah Master Fund
Inst
0.8%
750.000
apollo asia fund
Inst
0.8%
750.000
Nguyễn Thị Bích Hà
Indiv
0.6%
697.114
asia value investment limited
Inst
0.6%
2.1 trieu
Đặng Thị Lài
Indiv
0.6%
2.1 trieu
Phạm Thị Mỹ Hạnh
Indiv
0.6%
1.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Ngọ
Indiv
0.6%
543.639
amersham industries limited
Inst
0.5%
1.8 trieu
T.ROWE PRICE INTERNATIONAL SMALL-CAP EQUITY TRUST
Indiv
0.5%
1.7 trieu
T.ROWE PRICE FUNDS SICAV
Inst
0.5%
1.5 trieu
Lê Trí Thông
Indiv
0.4%
1.5 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu Vật tư Kỹ thuật
Inst
0.4%
431.940
Trần Nguyễn Quỳnh Anh
Indiv
0.4%
702.000
Trần Trung Hiếu
Indiv
0.4%
702.000
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Kinh tế hiện đại VinaCapital
Inst
0.4%
1.5 trieu
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Tiếp Cận Thị Trường VinaCapital
Inst
0.4%
1.3 trieu
DELAWARE PUBLIC EMPLOYEES' RETIREMENT SYSTEM
Indiv
0.4%
1.3 trieu
Lê Nguyên Đăng Hằng
Indiv
0.3%
1.1 trieu
T.ROWE PRICE GLOBAL GROWTH STOCK FUND
Inst
0.3%
999.600
Vietnam Co-investment Fund
Inst
0.3%
632.000
T ROWE PRICE GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY POOL
Indiv
0.3%
945.100
Wareham Group Limited
Inst
0.3%
900.704
Cao Thị Ngọc Hồng
Indiv
0.3%
882.806
Gates Foundation Trust
Inst
0.2%
831.137
DC Developing Markets Strategies Public Limited Company
Inst
0.2%
831.200
Dương Quang Hải
Indiv
0.2%
818.457
Trần Thị Môn
Indiv
0.2%
718.672
COLONIAL FIRST STATE GLOBAL SHARES FUND 7
Inst
0.2%
711.200
VOF Investment Limited
Inst
0.2%
708.233
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng TVAM
Inst
0.2%
440.000
Quỹ Đầu tư Cổ phiếu Hưng Thịnh Vinacapital
Inst
0.2%
664.974
Đào Trung Kiên
Indiv
0.2%
653.110
Trần Thị Thu Hà
Indiv
0.2%
425.354
Quỹ Đầu tư Tăng trưởng Thiên Việt 2
Inst
0.2%
410.006
Robert Alan Willett
Indiv
0.2%
400.000
Trần Minh
Indiv
0.2%
177.151
PUBLIC SERVICE PENSION PLAN FUND
Inst
0.1%
474.100
Quỹ Đầu tư Cân bằng Tuệ Sáng Vinacapital
Inst
0.1%
459.100
Huỳnh Đức Huy
Indiv
0.1%
427.854
Trần Văn Đàn
Indiv
0.1%
297.537
T.ROWE PRICE FUNDS SICAV-GLOBAL GROWTH EQUITY FUND
Inst
0.1%
391.800
HARBOUR T.ROWE PRICE GLOBAL EQUITY FUND
Inst
0.1%
382.134
Nguyễn Anh Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
368.621
Samsung Vietnam Securities Master Investment Trust
Inst
0.1%
342.300
Đặng Ngọc Thảo
Indiv
0.1%
327.218
Công Đoàn Cơ Sở Công ty Cổ Phần Vàng Bạc Đá Quý Phú Nhuận
Inst
0.1%
348.599
Nguyễn Ngọc Văn Quân
Indiv
0.1%
333.666
Board & Management
Cao Thị Ngọc Dung2.9%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Hữu Hạnh1.0%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đặng Thị Lài0.6%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Mỹ Hạnh0.6%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Trí Thông0.4%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Quang Hải0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Đào Trung Kiên0.2%
Giám đốc khối
Trần Thị Thu Hà0.2%
Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Anh Hùng0.1%
Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Hoàng Châu
Giám đốc khối
Huỳnh Thị Xuân Liên
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Trân
Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Ngọc Huệ
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Tiêu Yến Trinh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Tuấn Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phan Nguyễn Hoài Anh
Giám đốc khối
Lê Quang Phúc
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thành Dư
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Hoàng Anh
Giám đốc khối
Lê Anh Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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