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Công ty Cổ phần Dược - Trang thiết bị y tế Bình Định (BIDIPHAR)

VietnamConsumerY tếDược phẩmHOSECT
45.150
VND · Close 3 Nov 2026

Calibrated intrinsic value vs last close

Illustrative estimate
Close below calibrated value
+6.8%Calibrated value vs last close
At last close+500%
Last close (VND)
45.150
Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
48.225

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Earnings-capitalised value

Not available: the company reported a loss last year or its shares have too short a price history.

How it is calculated

  1. 1
    Measure the gap

    Between the model and the last close.

  2. 2
    Check the record2015–2024

    What gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year.

  3. 3
    Apply to the close

    That return is applied to the last close.

Keep in mind

  • For illustration only: not a validated forecast.
  • No uncertainty range: the estimate is a single figure.
  • Older record: it has not been re-measured on the current data.

Also note

  • A release of working capital contributes to cash flow.
Model reliability
High
Model fitInput stabilityRisk checks
High requires the model’s diagnostic criteria to be met.
Probability of outperforming peers
47.1%
12 monthsHistorical calibration
Chance the return beats the median return of its sector peers.
Assessed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices

These assessments address different questions. Neither establishes that the displayed valuation is correct or guarantees a future return.

12-month sector-relative outlook

−2.6percentage points
Consumer12 monthsBack-test 2015–2024

Median 12-month return difference versus Consumer peers, for model gaps like this one.

  • Not an absolute return forecast.
  • Not a price target.
  • A stock can underperform its sector and still rise.
Computed 30 Oct 2026Not updated with daily prices
Sector calibration span · percentage points
−9.5+5.5
  • The sector’s historical range, not a prediction interval for this stock.
  • Actual returns can fall outside it.

Valuation Breakdown

CT→Y tế→Consumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector “Y tế” maps to the consumer group.
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Intrinsic = 70% x DCF Value + 30% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

A Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the cash a business generates after operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted to today's value using WACC. The DCF value is blended 70/30 with a value from the company's own historical P/E.

Technical details
Why this model

Consumer staples/retail generate steady, predictable free cash flows, making them ideal for DCF. The time value of money principle means a dollar today is worth more than a dollar tomorrow. DCF captures this by discounting future cash flows at a rate reflecting the investment's risk (WACC).

How it works

Takes 3-year median FCF as the base. Estimates growth via ROIC x reinvestment rate (Damodaran framework), falling back to historical revenue growth. Projects 10 years with decay toward the sector's long-run growth rate. Discounts at CAPM-derived WACC. Blends 70% of the DCF value with 30% of a P/E value: the company's 5-year median P/E, held between 5x and 25x, times EPS.

Best for

Stable consumer businesses (food, beverage, retail, healthcare) with predictable, positive free cash flows.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.36%
+
Betasector default
0.553
x
ERP
4.38%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
9.53%
Ke
9.53%
x
E/(D+E)
94.76%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.36%
x
D/(D+E)
5.24%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend5.99%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF→154.71B
Projection years→10
4
Valuation

We take the model’s gap to the last close, read what gaps of that size went on to earn over the following year in our 2015 to 2024 record, and apply that to the last close.

Last close (VND)→45.150
Calibrated value vs last close→+6.8%

Last close × (1 + calibrated gap / 100)

Calibrated intrinsic value (VND)
48.225
What feeds each step— click a source to highlight it in the statements
Discount rate (WACC)10.00%
Growth rate5.99%growth method: fundamental firm blend
Base cash flow154.7 tỷone off strip ratio: 0

DCF Sensitivity

Illustrative calibrated values from the standalone DCF scenarios below, anchored to the same last close. These scenarios leave out the other parts of a blended model and do not reproduce the headline value.

WACC \ Growth3.0%4.5%6.0%7.5%9.0%
8.0%48.22548.22548.22548.22548.225
9.0%48.22548.22548.22548.22548.225
10.0%45.77445.77445.77448.22548.225
11.0%45.77445.77445.77445.77445.774
12.0%45.77445.77445.77445.77445.774
Above market priceBelow market priceCurrent estimate
Feeds valuation:Cost of capitalGrowthModel inputsFinal calculation
Line item20262025202420232022202120202019201820172016201520142013
CURRENT ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,4801,4761,2611,2489488361,0291,0211,1151,023773493515
Cash and cash equivalents (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·203314885669109138939613621113983
Short-term investments (Bn. VND)Net debt bridge
·409124221221139931142233142741100.80.5
Accounts receivable (Bn. VND)
·482520452510479413445429406372272256347
Prepayments to suppliers (Bn. VND)
·41761627423859547258300.74
Net Inventories
·3665054884502542153132702902311749582
Inventories, Net (Bn. VND)
·3985324984502542153132702902311749582
Other current assets
·2012121176197910522
Other current assets (Bn. VND)
·000000000000.60.8
LONG-TERM ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·1,116788728648611602592413429411295304273
Fixed assets (Bn. VND)
·35433835735724724923721924723616811893
Tangible fixed assets
·2722812992971871871801681951821266946
Intagible fixed assets
·82575860606256515253434038
Long-term investments (Bn. VND)
·164164164155140142150144140132102182177
Investments in associate companies
·16216316015113713813312712411693168167
Other long-term assets (Bn. VND)
·44444417171717171410
Less: Provision for diminuation in value of long term investments
·−2−200000000−7−0.20
Other non-current assets
·58534539404141263012433
Long-term prepayments (Bn. VND)
·42393735374140263012433
TOTAL ASSETS (Bn. VND)
·2,5962,2641,9891,8961,5601,4371,6211,4341,5441,4341,068796788
LIABILITIES (Bn. VND)
·860603556541419449688544711661514487520
Current liabilities (Bn. VND)
·588460418405287348580497656612482478501
Short-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·4336351621201769619675877284
Advances from customers (Bn. VND)
·15169911295153171573
Long-term liabilities (Bn. VND)
·27314313813513210110846554932919
Long-term borrowings (Bn. VND)Discount rate (WACC) +1
·132284460766365000008
OWNER'S EQUITY(Bn.VND)Discount rate (WACC)
·1,7361,6611,4331,3551,141989933891833773554309268
Capital and reserves (Bn. VND)
·1,7341,6591,4291,3491,132972914868806743554309268
Paid-in capital (Bn. VND)
·94593674974957652452452452452441926950
Other Reserves
·000000000000115
Difference upon Assets Revaluation
·00000000000064
Foreign Currency Difference reserve
·9587−3−0.7−1000000.6
Investment and development funds (Bn. VND)
·2312021741471231048874584228523
Undistributed earnings (Bn. VND)
·530497478427416326282249204156107340
Budget sources and other funds
·224691619232730000
Budget sources and other funds
·0.70.041.0231215182023000
TOTAL RESOURCES (Bn. VND)
·2,5962,2641,9891,8961,5601,4371,6211,4341,5441,4341,068796788
Short-term loans receivables (Bn. VND)
·0000000000.60.700
Common shares (Bn. VND)
·94593674974957652452452452452441926950

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025
93
Good
Accrual Quality
100
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
50
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025
Remainder
M −3.01 · 14th pctile vs VN companies
YoY ▼ −0.73
Conservative vs VN peersUnusual accounting movement
Compare across the whole market

Ranked vs Vietnamese peers. The −1.78 Beneish cutoff is US-calibrated; ~28% of VN stocks exceed it.

DSRI
0.858
GMI
1.017
AQI
1.475
SGI
1.080
DEPI
0.991
SGAI
0.981
TATA
−0.125
LVGI
1.286

Checks measured on Vietnamese companies · FY2025

Cash conversion, 3 yearsOperating cash flow / net profit
1.3960th pctile
Receivables outside the trade cyclePrepayments to suppliers, loans and other long-term receivables / total assets
1.6%44th pctile
Accumulated losses / paid-in capitalUndistributed earnings below zero
None
Consecutive years of net lossProfit after tax of the parent
0
Owner's equityWithout the non-controlling interest
Positive

Percentiles rank each fiscal year against Vietnamese non-financial companies (0 lowest, 100 highest). Over FY2015-2024, low cash conversion and a large share of receivables outside the trade cycle came before more listing trouble and more net losses the next year.

Statutory loss tests (Decree 155/2020/NĐ-CP, Art. 120(1)(e), amended by Decree 245/2025/NĐ-CP): a HOSE or HNX listing is cancelled when the audited annual statements show net losses in each of the latest 3 years, accumulated losses above the paid-in charter capital, or negative owner's equity. Read here from the annual statements as the data vendor publishes them.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
5.21
Safe Zone
Sharpe
−0.85
Negative
Composite
53
50 to 69
Piotroski F-Score Breakdown
✓Net Income > 0
✓Operating CF > 0
✗ROA Rising
✓OCF > Net Income
✗Lower Leverage
✗Better Liquidity
✗No Dilution
✗Margin Up
✗Turnover Up
DuPont Decomposition
Tax Burden0.84×Interest Burden0.99×Op. Margin0.19×Turnover0.72×Leverage1.50=ROE16.8%
Price Risk
Momentum
−9.9%
Volatility
15.2%
Max Drawdown
−12.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
14.81P/E
P/B
2.49
P/S
2.32
ROE
17.2%
ROA
12.0%
EPS
3.090
BVPS
18.372
Gross Margin
47.4%
Net Margin
15.7%
D/E
0.10
Current Ratio
2.52
Rev Growth
+7.1%
Profit Growth
+5.7%
EV/EBITDA
10.30
Div Yield
4.3%

Company Overview

Shares outstanding
94.5M
Charter Capital
945B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT
Computed 30/10/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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