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Technology sector

SMT

Technology
Công ty Cổ phần SAMETEL
Công nghệ Thông tin/Thiết bị và Phần cứngCT
9.300
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
34.153
Current
9.300
Gap
+267.2%
ModelDCF PE BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTCông nghệ Thông tinTechnology
Classified as technology because ICB sector "Công nghệ Thông tin" maps to the technology group
ModelDCF + P/E Blend
Intrinsic = 60% x DCF Value + 40% x (Fair P/E x EPS)

Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
43.13%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.85%
x
D/(D+E)
56.87%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default8.00%
Growth decays 5%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Max fair P/E16x
4
Valuation
60%DCF Value
34.153
40%P/E Value
Blended Intrinsic
34.153
Value Decomposition
39%
61%
Explicit period (39%)Terminal value (61%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SMT

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

29
Poor
Accrual Quality
18
Cash Conversion
40
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
94

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2018

-1.27
High Risk
DSRI
0.676
GMI
1.345
AQI
0.807
SGI
1.348
DEPI
0.875
SGAI
0.729
TATA
0.228
LVGI
1.032

SMT exhibits an elevated risk of financial manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -1.273, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 41.6 suggests significant concerns, particularly in cash conversion and revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.273 indicates potential manipulation, as it is close to the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 41.6/100, with a cash conversion score of 0.0/100, raises concerns about the reliability of reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 0.6757 suggests that accounts receivable are growing slower than revenue, which is a positive indicator.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 indicates strong management of receivables, which could imply effective credit control.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is highly concentrated with the top five shareholders holding a combined 56.8%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and revenue recognition practices before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
2/9
Weak
Z-Score
0.21
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.82
Positive
Composite
65
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+85.9%
Volatility
51.3%
Max Drawdown
-49.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-10.05P/E
P/B1.05
P/S1.96
ROE-9.5%
ROA-4.4%
EPS-925.51
BVPS8878.04
Gross Margin-7.9%
Net Margin-19.5%
D/E1.67
Current Ratio0.89
Rev Growth-68.5%
Profit Growth-608.1%
EV/EBITDA-5.90
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
6.6M
Charter Capital
65.6B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Công nghệ Thông tin
Industry (ICB L3)
Thiết bị và Phần cứng
Sub-industry
Thiết bị viễn thông
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SMT — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Năng Hòa
Indiv
17.8%
1.2 trieu
Trần Thị Thùy Dương
Indiv
14.2%
931.320
Phạm Duy Khánh
Indiv
5.0%
273.100
nguyen-thi-hai-yen
Indiv
4.9%
321.480
Vũ Thị Phương
Indiv
4.9%
321.480
Nguyễn Đông Hưng
Indiv
4.9%
321.480
Nguyễn Ngọc Huy
Indiv
4.9%
321.480
Nguyễn Thị Nga
Indiv
4.9%
267.900
Trần Thùy Linh
Indiv
4.9%
321.480
andreas karall
Indiv
4.9%
267.400
Hoàng Thị Thu Hiền
Indiv
4.7%
257.300
Công ty Cổ phần Dịch vụ Bưu chính Viễn thông Sài Gòn
Inst
2.8%
125.000
Bùi Vũ Vân Hòa
Indiv
1.6%
88.424
Hồ Thị Thu Hương
Indiv
1.1%
57.553
Trần Văn Dương
Indiv
0.9%
47.755
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Sao Mai Việt
Inst
0.6%
28.000
Phạm Ngọc Tuấn
Indiv
0.5%
29.038
Nguyễn Thiện Cảnh
Indiv
0.4%
20.899
Phạm Cử
Indiv
0.3%
17.718
Đinh Thị Hoài Bắc
Indiv
0.3%
11.410
Phạm Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
0.2%
8.164
Phạm Ngọc Thúy Anh
Indiv
0.1%
8.016
Nguyễn Văn Kiều
Indiv
0.1%
6.720
Nguyễn Xuân Thắng
Indiv
0.1%
8.170
Trần Lệ Nguyên
Indiv
0.1%
50.000
Board & Management
Trần Văn Dương0.9%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc Tài chính/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thư ký Hội đồng Quản Trị
Phạm Ngọc Tuấn0.5%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thiện Cảnh0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Huỳnh Thị Kim Oanh
Kế toán trưởng
Lưu Nhật Huy
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Văn Minh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Quốc Việt
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Bá Ngọc
Giám đốc khối
Nguyễn Lê Văn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trần Hiếu
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đào Ngọc Quyết
Giám đốc Tài chính
Computed 12/04/2026
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