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Construction sector

TA9

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Xây lắp Thành An 96
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
12.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
194.275
Current
12.100
Gap
+500.0%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
16.67%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.31%
x
D/(D+E)
83.33%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.89%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
42.913
50%DCF Value
345.636
Blended Intrinsic
194.275
Value Decomposition
35%
65%
Explicit period (35%)Terminal value (65%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TA9

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

55
Fair
Accrual Quality
54
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
100
Revenue Quality
10

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.89
Moderate
DSRI
0.618
GMI
0.996
AQI
1.042
SGI
1.215
DEPI
0.798
SGAI
0.866
TATA
0.155
LVGI
0.986

The Beneish M-Score of -1.8948 indicates a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it exceeds the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 51.9 suggests moderate concerns regarding the sustainability of earnings, particularly highlighted by a cash conversion score of 0.0, indicating significant reliance on accruals.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8948 exceeds the manipulation threshold of -1.78, suggesting potential earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0 indicates a complete lack of cash generation from reported earnings.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0 suggests effective management of accounts receivable.
  • Earnings quality margin score of 100.0 indicates strong profitability relative to revenue.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with Tổng Công ty Thành An holding 51.0%, which may lead to potential governance issues and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor cash flow performance and earnings sustainability before considering any investment in TA9. A deeper analysis of operational efficiency and governance practices is recommended.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.59
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.17
Negative
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+1.9%
Volatility
19.8%
Max Drawdown
-16.6%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
5.70P/E
P/B0.90
P/S0.04
ROE15.9%
ROA1.2%
EPS2124.64
BVPS13509.30
Gross Margin4.5%
Net Margin0.8%
D/E12.57
Current Ratio1.01
Rev Growth-3.1%
Profit Growth-2.5%
EV/EBITDA-0.95
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
12.4M
Charter Capital
124.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TA9 — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Thành An
Inst
51.0%
6.3 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
5.9%
739.000
VÕ CỬU LONG
Indiv
5.0%
619.574
Nguyễn Khắc Xuyên
Indiv
2.0%
167.001
Phạm Văn Lê
Indiv
1.2%
145.943
Hoàng Đức Trúc
Indiv
1.0%
125.404
Võ Văn Tiến
Indiv
0.9%
76.322
Hoàng Văn Khương
Indiv
0.9%
75.767
Nguyễn Ngọc Huệ
Indiv
0.7%
84.300
Đặng Đình Khiêm
Indiv
0.7%
83.483
Lâm Văn Công
Indiv
0.4%
45.989
nguyen-xuan-ha
Indiv
0.2%
24.278
Đỗ Văn Thành
Indiv
0.1%
11.840
Board & Management
Phạm Văn Lê1.2%
Phó Giám đốc
Hoàng Đức Trúc1.0%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngọc Huệ0.7%
Phó Giám đốc
Đặng Đình Khiêm0.7%
Phó Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Xuân Hà0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Diệu Thúy
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phan Xuân Bằng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Mai Tố Loan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Thị Thu Hương
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Ngọc Trường
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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