VNVALUEVNVALUE
Updated weekly
Back to Dashboard
Real Estate sector

IDV

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Hạ tầng Vĩnh Phúc
Bất động sảnCT
23.200
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
31.966
Current
23.200
Gap
+37.8%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
44.30%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.89%
x
D/(D+E)
55.70%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.49%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
27.846
60%DCF Value
34.712
Blended Intrinsic
31.966
Value Decomposition
33%
67%
Explicit period (33%)Terminal value (67%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — IDV

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

72
Good
Accrual Quality
68
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
68
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-2.59
Low Risk
DSRI
0.706
GMI
0.947
AQI
0.994
SGI
1.542
DEPI
1.205
SGAI
0.627
TATA
-0.080
LVGI
1.024

The Beneish M-Score of -2.5916 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the SGI of 1.5423 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals, raising concerns about sustainability.

Red Flags
  • SGI of 1.5423 indicates aggressive growth that may not be sustainable.
  • EQ Revenue score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 72.2/100 reflects relatively strong earnings quality.
  • Cash conversion metrics are strong with an eq_cash_conv score of 100.0/100.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders include a significant institutional investor (18.0%), which may provide some stability, but the presence of multiple individual shareholders could lead to potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor growth metrics closely and assess the sustainability of revenue streams, while considering the strong cash conversion as a positive indicator.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
6/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.21
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-0.49
Negative
Composite
57
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-11.6%
Volatility
22.1%
Max Drawdown
-35.4%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
8.89P/E
P/B1.22
P/S6.08
ROE14.6%
ROA6.5%
EPS3122.42
BVPS22276.97
Gross Margin69.1%
Net Margin69.8%
D/E1.26
Current Ratio1.62
Rev Growth54.2%
Profit Growth2.6%
EV/EBITDA9.58
Div Yield3.7%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
41.2M
Charter Capital
474.2B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for IDV — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
america limited liability company
Inst
18.0%
4.5 trieu
Hoàng Đình Thắng
Indiv
12.6%
5.2 trieu
Trịnh Việt Dũng
Indiv
8.0%
3.3 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Kiến
Indiv
6.9%
2.9 trieu
Văn Phụng Hà
Indiv
4.7%
1.7 trieu
Tạ Phạm Bích Thủy
Indiv
4.4%
1.8 trieu
CÔNG TY TNHH MTV VPID HÀ NỘI
Inst
4.2%
326.300
Lê Tùng Sơn
Indiv
3.4%
1.4 trieu
Phùng Văn Quý
Indiv
3.0%
1.3 trieu
Phạm Hữu Ái
Indiv
1.7%
702.098
nguyen-thi-huong
Indiv
1.1%
81.348
Trịnh Việt Cường
Indiv
0.9%
388.432
Phạm Trung Kiên
Indiv
0.9%
373.974
Trịnh Thị Hồng Ngọc
Indiv
0.8%
312.465
Nguyễn Ngọc Lan
Indiv
0.7%
278.034
Lê Hoàng Yến
Indiv
0.6%
234.689
Nguyễn Duy Trung
Indiv
0.5%
39.264
Nguyễn Anh Đệ
Indiv
0.5%
206.188
Lê Quốc Minh
Indiv
0.5%
196.125
Phạm Hữu Ánh
Indiv
0.5%
192.284
Nguyễn Thị Ánh Mai
Indiv
0.5%
188.600
Phạm Văn Hoanh
Indiv
0.4%
87.420
Nguyễn Thị Lâm Hạnh
Indiv
0.4%
159.003
Nguyễn Thị Phương Ngọc
Indiv
0.3%
133.791
Nguyễn Minh Trường
Indiv
0.2%
18.300
Văn Thị Bông
Indiv
0.2%
79.949
Nguyễn Ngọc Phương Trinh
Indiv
0.2%
88.872
Cao Đình Thi
Indiv
0.2%
30.189
Nguyễn Thị Hoàn
Indiv
0.2%
79.412
Nguyễn Quang Trung
Indiv
0.2%
74.886
Vũ Thị Hồng Trà
Indiv
0.2%
70.000
Vũ Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
68.000
Board & Management
Hoàng Đình Thắng12.6%
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trịnh Việt Dũng8.0%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Tùng Sơn3.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phùng Văn Quý3.0%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Trung Kiên0.9%
Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Ngọc Lan0.7%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Anh Đệ0.5%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Phạm Hữu Ánh0.5%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập/Phó Giám đốc Kiểm toán nội bộ
Phạm Văn Hoanh0.4%
Trưởng Ban Kiểm toán nội bộ /Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị độc lập
Nguyễn Thị Hoàn0.2%
Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Huy Tùng
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

By using vnvalue you accept the Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Full disclaimer →