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Real Estate sector

SZL

Real Estate
Công ty Cổ phần Sonadezi Long Thành
Bất động sảnCT
51.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Medium
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
17.959
Current
51.000
Gap
-64.8%
ModelDCF LEVERAGE SCREEN

Valuation Breakdown

CTBất động sảnReal Estate
Classified as real estate because ICB sector "Bất động sản" maps to the real estate group
ModelRNAV + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 40% x (BVPS x 1.5) + 60% x DCF Value

Real estate developers in Vietnam report land banks at historical acquisition cost (Vietnamese Accounting Standards don't allow revaluation). This means book value severely understates true asset value. This model blends two approaches: an RNAV proxy (revalued net asset value, applying a 1.5x factor to book value) weighted 40%, and a DCF on normalized cash flows weighted 60%. Highly leveraged firms receive a +2% WACC penalty.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.300
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
13.60%
Ke
13.60%
x
E/(D+E)
33.41%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.56%
x
D/(D+E)
66.59%
=
WACC
10.00%
+2% WACC penalty (high leverage)
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend7.30%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
40%RNAV Proxy
26.475
60%DCF Value
12.281
Blended Intrinsic
17.959
Value Decomposition
32%
68%
Explicit period (32%)Terminal value (68%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SZL

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

95
Good
Accrual Quality
79
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
99
Revenue Quality
100

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.21
Low Risk
DSRI
0.490
GMI
0.845
AQI
1.045
SGI
1.095
DEPI
0.982
SGAI
1.199
TATA
-0.053
LVGI
0.996

The Beneish M-Score of -3.21 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, significantly below the threshold of -1.78. Additionally, the earnings quality score of 94.6/100 reflects strong performance across various metrics, suggesting robust financial health.

Positive Signals
  • Earnings Quality Score of 94.6/100 indicates strong overall earnings quality, particularly with cash conversion and revenue metrics at 100.0/100.
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.21 suggests low risk of earnings manipulation, well below the manipulation threshold.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily concentrated, with the top shareholder holding 52.7%, which may pose risks related to governance and decision-making transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should consider the strong earnings quality and low manipulation risk as positive indicators, but remain vigilant regarding the concentrated ownership structure and its potential impact on corporate governance.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
1.36
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.36
Positive
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.0%
Volatility
22.2%
Max Drawdown
-19.9%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.55P/E
P/B2.18
P/S2.78
ROE21.4%
ROA7.2%
EPS4832.13
BVPS23440.92
Gross Margin39.3%
Net Margin26.3%
D/E1.97
Current Ratio0.97
Rev Growth9.5%
Profit Growth34.5%
EV/EBITDA7.31
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
29.1M
Charter Capital
291.1B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Bất động sản
Industry (ICB L3)
Bất động sản
Sub-industry
Bất động sản
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SZL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Cổ phần Phát triển Khu Công nghiệp
Inst
52.7%
15.4 trieu
america limited liability company
Inst
16.1%
4.7 trieu
Trần Cảnh Thông
Indiv
6.1%
1.1 trieu
Quỹ Đầu Tư Phát Triển Đồng Nai
Inst
5.8%
1.7 trieu
Bưu điện tỉnh Đồng Nai
Indiv
5.3%
1.1 trieu
Phạm Quốc Chí
Indiv
0.7%
125.000
Kamm Investment Holdings, Inc
Inst
0.5%
100.000
Phan Đình Thám
Indiv
0.3%
47.290
Nguyễn Văn Tuấn
Indiv
0.2%
48.810
Phạm Như Chí
Indiv
0.2%
30.640
Credit Suisse (Hong Kong) Limited
Inst
0.2%
30.290
Phạm Anh Tuấn
Indiv
0.1%
31.770
Board & Management
Nguyễn Văn Tuấn0.2%
Tổng Giám đốc/Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Anh Tuấn0.1%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Anh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Thanh Thủy
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thế Phòng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Đinh Ngọc Thuận
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Dương Ngọc Trúc Yên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trịnh Thị Hoa
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Trang
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Trần Hưng Thịnh
Giám đốc Tài chính/Kế toán trưởng
Phạm Thị Thanh Mai
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Huỳnh Long Đức
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Lê Xuân Sâm
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Ngô Xuân Quảng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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