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Consumer sector

SGC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu Sa Giang
Thực phẩm và đồ uống/Sản xuất thực phẩmCT
80.000
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
219.891
Current
80.000
Gap
+174.9%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTThực phẩm và đồ uốngConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Thực phẩm và đồ uống" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
0.800
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
10.10%
Ke
10.10%
x
E/(D+E)
77.56%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.68%
x
D/(D+E)
22.44%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend7.72%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF80.56B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
80.56B
Growth Rate
7.72%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
219.891
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — SGC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

56
Fair
Accrual Quality
93
Cash Conversion
89
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
68
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.45
High Risk
DSRI
1.403
GMI
0.886
AQI
2.626
SGI
1.051
DEPI
1.743
SGAI
0.951
TATA
-0.018
LVGI
0.969

SGC exhibits a moderate risk profile with some indicators of potential earnings manipulation, as suggested by its Beneish M-Score of -1.4483, which is above the manipulation threshold. However, the company's earnings quality score of 55.7 indicates reasonable performance in accruals and cash conversion, though significant concerns arise from its receivables and revenue metrics.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.4483 indicates potential earnings manipulation, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 55.7 is concerning, particularly with a receivables score of 0.0/100, suggesting possible issues in revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Strong accrual score of 92.7/100 and cash conversion score of 89.0/100 indicate good operational efficiency.
  • Ownership concentration with 76.7% held by Công ty Cổ phần Vĩnh Hoàn suggests stability and potential alignment of interests.
Ownership Risk

The high concentration of ownership by a single institutional investor (Công ty Cổ phần Vĩnh Hoàn) may pose risks related to governance and decision-making, potentially limiting minority shareholders' influence.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor SGC's earnings reports for signs of revenue recognition issues and consider the implications of its ownership structure before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
5.54
Safe Zone
Sharpe
-0.95
Negative
Composite
48
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-29.5%
Volatility
50.5%
Max Drawdown
-49.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
4.26P/E
P/B1.18
P/S0.74
ROE31.7%
ROA23.6%
EPS17961.18
BVPS64859.71
Gross Margin29.9%
Net Margin17.3%
D/E0.29
Current Ratio2.21
Rev Growth5.4%
Profit Growth28.1%
EV/EBITDA3.14
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
7.1M
Charter Capital
71.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Thực phẩm và đồ uống
Industry (ICB L3)
Sản xuất thực phẩm
Sub-industry
Thực phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for SGC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Công ty Cổ phần Vĩnh Hoàn
Inst
76.7%
5.5 trieu
Trần Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
10.2%
728.535
Trần Thị Thanh Thủy
Indiv
4.0%
286.800
Phạm Thanh Hùng
Indiv
3.3%
238.058
Phạm Hồng Thịnh
Indiv
3.3%
233.839
Lâm Văn Cường
Indiv
0.9%
61.482
Lê Văn Phúc
Indiv
0.8%
60.000
Đặng Thành Bửu
Indiv
0.8%
59.011
MAI HOÀNG TÂM
Indiv
0.8%
58.909
MẬT BÍCH KHUẦY
Indiv
0.7%
54.540
Phạm Hữu Quá
Indiv
0.6%
39.841
Nguyễn Văn Kiệm
Indiv
0.4%
31.138
Nguyễn Văn Thêm
Indiv
0.2%
16.803
Huỳnh Thị Thùy Trang
Indiv
0.2%
17.100
Dương Thị Huỳnh Hoa
Indiv
0.2%
14.277
Mai Thúy Phượng
Indiv
0.1%
9.600
Nguyễn Dương Thảo
Indiv
0.1%
8.820
Board & Management
PHẠM THANH HÙNG3.3%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
MAI HOÀNG TÂM0.8%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Kiệm0.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Kim Đào
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Ngô Vi Tâm
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Thị Diệu Thi
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thanh Tùng
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Trọng Liêm
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Ngọc Huyền Trang
Kế toán trưởng
Huỳnh Thị Bé Ngọc
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Văn Sang
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Đặng Thị Ngọc Hương
Khác
Trương Thị Lệ Khanh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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