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Cyclicals sector

QBS

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Xuất nhập khẩu Quảng Bình
Hóa chấtCT
600
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
2.278
Current
600
Gap
+279.7%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTHóa chấtCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Hóa chất" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Ebitda Bvps Floor
BVPS
3.255
x
Discount
70%
=
Floor Value
3.255

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — QBS

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

5
Poor
Accrual Quality
12
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
13

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

259.53
High Risk
DSRI
338.316
GMI
0.004
AQI
0.110
SGI
0.002
DEPI
1.274
SGAI
262.952
TATA
-0.307
LVGI
1.261

QBS exhibits significant financial manipulation risk as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of 259.5286, far exceeding the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The low earnings quality score of 5.0/100 further underscores concerns regarding the reliability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of 259.5286 indicates high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 5.0/100 suggests severe issues with earnings reliability.
  • DSRI of 338.3162 indicates potential aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • The GMI of 0.0042 is relatively low, which may indicate less risk of gross margin deterioration.
  • DEPI of 1.2742 suggests that the company is investing in growth, which could be a positive sign if managed properly.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholder, Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hương, holds 13.3%, indicating a concentrated ownership structure that may lead to governance risks. The lack of institutional ownership beyond 3.5% raises concerns about oversight.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence before considering an investment in QBS, focusing on verifying the integrity of financial statements and assessing management practices.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
-1.77
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.31
Negative
Composite
30
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-61.9%
Volatility
130.9%
Max Drawdown
-76.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-0.58P/E
P/B0.20
P/S366.94
ROE-29.6%
ROA-26.6%
EPS-1130.71
BVPS3254.54
Gross Margin27.3%
Net Margin-63733.4%
D/E0.13
Current Ratio8.38
Rev Growth-99.8%
Profit Growth44.2%
EV/EBITDA-0.58
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
69.3M
Charter Capital
693.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hóa chất
Industry (ICB L3)
Hóa chất
Sub-industry
Sản phẩm hóa dầu, Nông dược & Hóa chất khác
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for QBS — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hương
Indiv
13.3%
9.2 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Chứng khoán VIX
Inst
3.5%
1.1 trieu
Nguyễn Mạnh Tuấn
Indiv
0.7%
517.250
Phạm Sỹ Thạc
Indiv
0.3%
235.130
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Hương13.3%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Tuấn0.7%
Giám đốc Kinh doanh
Trần Thị Yến Chi
Kế toán trưởng
Lê Thị Thanh Hải
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thị Ngọc Ninh
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Hoàng Văn Hưng
Tổng Giám đốc
Hà Thị Mai Hương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Thu Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Quỳnh Trang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đặng Thị Phương Thảo
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thanh Bình
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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