GEX
CyclicalsValuation Breakdown
Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — GEX
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
GEX exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -2.3401, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is well below the threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 70.1/100, particularly low revenue quality, raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.
- Earnings quality margin score of 20.5/100 indicates significant issues with profitability and potential overstatement of earnings.
- Revenue quality score of 0.0/100 suggests that reported revenues may not be backed by actual cash flows, posing a risk to financial stability.
- Beneish M-Score of -2.3401 suggests a lower likelihood of earnings manipulation compared to the threshold.
- High receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable, which could support cash flow.
The largest shareholder, Nguyễn Văn Tuấn, holds 23.6%, which may lead to concentrated control and potential conflicts of interest, impacting minority shareholders' rights.
Investors should closely monitor GEX's revenue generation and cash flow metrics before making investment decisions, while considering the potential impact of concentrated ownership on governance.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK
> mapping common ownership for GEX — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate