ITD
TechnologyValuation Breakdown
Technology companies combine high growth potential with the risk of overvaluation. This model blends DCF (60% weight, capturing long-duration growth) with a P/E sanity check (40% weight, capping speculative excess). The DCF uses the slowest growth decay (0.05) recognizing that tech companies can sustain competitive advantages longer. The P/E component applies a dynamic ceiling: max P/E = min(growth% x 1.5, 30), preventing runaway valuations.
Valuation Track Record
Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — ITD
Earnings Quality
Fiscal year 2025
Financial Forensics
Beneish M-Score · 2025
The Beneish M-Score of -1.8741 suggests a potential risk of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. Despite a solid earnings quality score of 64.4, the high SGI of 1.4207 and low eq_margin and eq_revenue metrics raise concerns about revenue sustainability and operational efficiency.
- Beneish M-Score of -1.8741 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk.
- SGI of 1.4207 suggests aggressive growth that may not be supported by underlying fundamentals.
- eq_margin and eq_revenue both at 0.0/100 indicate poor revenue quality and margin performance.
- Earnings Quality Score of 64.4/100 indicates overall decent earnings quality.
- High eq_cash_conv and eq_receivables scores of 100.0/100 suggest strong cash conversion and receivables management.
The ownership structure is highly fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant stake, which may dilute accountability and oversight. However, the presence of multiple individual shareholders could also indicate a diverse interest in the company's performance.
Investors should closely monitor the company's revenue growth and operational efficiency, particularly given the elevated risk of earnings manipulation. It may be prudent to adopt a cautious approach, potentially waiting for clearer signals of sustainable performance before making significant investments.
Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.
Quantitative Scores
Key Ratios
Company Overview
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> mapping common ownership for ITD — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate