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Cyclicals sector

VIM

Cyclicals
Công ty Cổ phần Khoáng sản Viglacera
Tài nguyên Cơ bản/Khai khoángCT
10.100
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
18.150
Current
10.100
Gap
+79.7%
ModelEV EBITDA MIDCYCLE

Valuation Breakdown

CTTài nguyên Cơ bảnCyclical
Classified as cyclical because ICB sector "Tài nguyên Cơ bản" maps to the cyclical group
ModelEV/EBITDA Mid-Cycle
Equity Value = Mid-Cycle EBITDA x Fair EV/EBITDA - Net Debt

Cyclical companies (chemicals, oil & gas, basic resources) have earnings that swing dramatically with commodity prices and economic cycles. Valuing them on a single year's earnings is misleading: they look cheap at peaks and expensive at troughs. This model uses 7-year median EBITDA ("mid-cycle" earnings) and a 7-year median EV/EBITDA multiple to estimate what the firm is worth at a normal point in the cycle.

1
Model Inputs
Mid-Cycle EBITDA7.46B
Fair EV/EBITDA5.0x
Years of data7
2
Valuation
Mid-Cycle EBITDA
7.46B
x
Fair EV/EBITDA
5.0x
-
Net Debt
14.63B
=
Equity Value
18.150
Years of data7

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VIM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

35
Weak
Accrual Quality
42
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
27
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-1.40
High Risk
DSRI
1.374
GMI
1.072
AQI
0.819
SGI
1.044
DEPI
0.952
SGAI
1.049
TATA
0.166
LVGI
1.110

VIM exhibits several concerning indicators suggesting potential financial manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.4033, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality score of 35.4/100, driven by poor cash conversion and revenue metrics, further raises red flags about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.4033 indicates potential manipulation risk as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 35.4/100, with cash conversion at 0.0/100, suggests significant issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • Receivables score of 100.0/100 paired with a revenue score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.3740 indicates that inventory growth is in line with revenue growth, which is a positive sign.
  • SGA (Selling, General and Administrative Expenses) ratio of 1.0493 suggests that VIM is managing its operating expenses relatively well compared to its sales.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tổng Công ty Viglacera (51.0%) indicates a strong institutional presence, which can provide stability. However, this concentration also raises concerns about governance and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and closely monitor VIM's financial disclosures and cash flow statements. Conducting further due diligence on the company's revenue recognition practices and management's integrity is advisable before making investment decisions.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
2.02
Grey Zone
Sharpe
-0.94
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-45.4%
Volatility
84.4%
Max Drawdown
-56.8%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
9.73P/E
P/B0.54
P/S0.18
ROE5.5%
ROA2.7%
EPS1036.88
BVPS18852.83
Gross Margin14.2%
Net Margin1.9%
D/E1.20
Current Ratio1.60
Rev Growth4.4%
Profit Growth30.3%
EV/EBITDA13.03
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
1.3M
Charter Capital
12.5B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Tài nguyên Cơ bản
Industry (ICB L3)
Khai khoáng
Sub-industry
Khai khoáng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VIM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Viglacera
Inst
51.0%
637.500
nguyen-thi-minh
Indiv
4.7%
58.100
Lưu Văn Lấu
Indiv
3.4%
43.000
Nguyễn Thị Sửu
Indiv
3.1%
38.300
Nguyễn Thị Hiệp
Indiv
1.6%
20.000
Lê Ngân Bình
Indiv
0.6%
7.000
Nguyễn Thị Bích Lân
Indiv
0.2%
2.906
Board & Management
Lưu Văn Lấu3.4%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Sửu3.1%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Văn Doanh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Kim Bồng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Cẩm Vân
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Lê Ngọc Long
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Mạnh Hà
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Thị Minh Loan
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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