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Construction sector

VHL

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Viglacera Hạ Long
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
10.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
32.113
Current
10.500
Gap
+205.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
64.73%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.87%
x
D/(D+E)
35.27%
=
WACC
10.32%
2
Growth Estimate
Sector Default3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
23.201
50%DCF Value
41.026
Blended Intrinsic
32.113
Value Decomposition
36%
64%
Explicit period (36%)Terminal value (64%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VHL

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

67
Fair
Accrual Quality
79
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
16

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2025

-3.20
Low Risk
DSRI
0.724
GMI
0.665
AQI
0.988
SGI
0.966
DEPI
0.980
SGAI
1.098
TATA
-0.052
LVGI
0.982

VHL exhibits a Beneish M-Score of -3.2031, indicating a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, which is a positive signal. However, the earnings quality score of 67.2/100 reveals significant weaknesses in revenue recognition and profit margins, warranting caution.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 67.2/100, particularly low revenue quality at 16.2/100, suggests potential issues in revenue recognition.
  • SGAI of 1.0978 indicates higher selling, general, and administrative expenses relative to sales, which may pressure profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -3.2031 is well below the manipulation threshold of -1.78, indicating a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong cash conversion score of 100.0/100 suggests effective cash management despite lower earnings quality.
Ownership Risk

The concentrated ownership structure, with 78.9% held by two institutional investors, may lead to governance risks and reduced minority shareholder influence.

Recommendation

Investors should monitor VHL's revenue recognition practices closely and consider engaging with management regarding the high SG&A expenses. A cautious approach is advised given the mixed signals in earnings quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
2.48
Grey Zone
Sharpe
0.03
Positive
Composite
64
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
-4.5%
Volatility
72.5%
Max Drawdown
-34.1%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
10.69P/E
P/B0.64
P/S0.29
ROE6.1%
ROA4.0%
EPS1196.99
BVPS20064.21
Gross Margin16.6%
Net Margin2.7%
D/E0.53
Current Ratio2.11
Rev Growth-3.4%
Profit Growth145.0%
EV/EBITDA3.36
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
25.0M
Charter Capital
250.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Vật liệu xây dựng & Nội thất
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VHL — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tổng Công ty Viglacera
Inst
50.5%
12.6 trieu
Công ty Cổ phần Ống sợi thủy tinh Vinaconex
Inst
28.4%
4.5 trieu
Phạm Thị Thu
Indiv
4.9%
1.2 trieu
Đinh Quang Huy
Indiv
2.9%
736.101
Trần Đình Thể
Indiv
1.6%
399.906
Phạm Minh Tuấn
Indiv
0.8%
186.783
Nguyễn Hữu Gấm
Indiv
0.6%
139.154
Trần Hồng Quang
Indiv
0.4%
112.353
Lưu Văn Lấu
Indiv
0.2%
28.305
Ngô Thanh Tùng
Indiv
0.1%
30.188
Board & Management
Đinh Quang Huy2.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
PHẠM MINH TUẤN0.8%
Giám đốc Tài chính/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Kế toán trưởng
Trần Hồng Quang0.4%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Ngô Thanh Tùng0.1%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Thị Thanh Nga
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Trung Kiên
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phạm Duy Huân
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Trần Duy Hưng
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Ngọc Bích
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nhâm Sỹ Tiện
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Hoàng Kim Bồng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Phùng Quang Dũng
Giám đốc Nhân sự
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Bình
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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