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Consumer sector

AMP

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Armephaco
Y tế/Dược phẩmCT
14.500
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Overvalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
7.876
Current
14.500
Gap
-45.7%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTY tếConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Y tế" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

Distressed Valuation
Negative Intrinsic Value
BVPS
15.751
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
15.751

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — AMP

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

84
Good
Accrual Quality
97
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
99
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.24
Moderate
DSRI
1.158
GMI
0.912
AQI
0.952
SGI
1.048
DEPI
0.925
SGAI
1.172
TATA
0.034
LVGI
0.996

AMP exhibits an elevated risk of financial manipulation as indicated by its Beneish M-Score of -2.2362, which is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. While the earnings quality score of 56.6 suggests some strengths, significant concerns arise from the cash conversion metrics and the ownership structure dominated by state and institutional investors.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.2362 indicates a high likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 0.0/100 raises concerns about cash flow sustainability.
Positive Signals
  • Receivables and margin metrics both score 100.0/100, indicating strong revenue recognition and profitability potential.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is heavily influenced by state and institutional shareholders, which may lead to conflicts of interest and reduced transparency in financial reporting.

Recommendation

Investors should conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow statements and governance practices, before making investment decisions regarding AMP.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.13
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.13
Positive
Composite
58
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+8.4%
Volatility
70.3%
Max Drawdown
-35.3%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
47.04P/E
P/B0.92
P/S0.14
ROE2.0%
ROA0.3%
EPS308.24
BVPS15751.40
Gross Margin6.4%
Net Margin0.3%
D/E6.46
Current Ratio1.06
Rev Growth29.0%
Profit Growth9.7%
EV/EBITDA23.28
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
13.0M
Charter Capital
130.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Y tế
Industry (ICB L3)
Dược phẩm
Sub-industry
Dược phẩm
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for AMP — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Bộ Quốc Phòng
State
29.0%
3.8 trieu
Công ty TNHH Đầu Tư Tài Sản Việt Leader
Inst
23.3%
3.0 trieu
Phạm Công Đoàn
Indiv
23.1%
3.0 trieu
nguyen-thi-huong
Indiv
8.6%
1.1 trieu
Lê Tuấn
Indiv
3.9%
506.013
La Thị Sao Mai
Indiv
3.2%
411.000
nguyen-dieu-trinh
Indiv
2.9%
377.622
Đỗ Đức Thịnh
Indiv
0.2%
2.900
Board & Management
Nguyễn Thị Hương8.6%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Nguyễn Diệu Trinh2.9%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Dũng
Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Tổng Giám đốc
Dương Đình Sơn
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Anh Dũng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Tổng Giám đốc Tài chính
Nguyễn Thành Quang
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Lê Mạnh Hiền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Đỗ Mạnh Hà
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Phương Thảo
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Trần Tiến Đức
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

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All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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