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Construction sector

VPC

Construction
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư và Phát triển Năng lượng Việt Nam
Xây dựng và Vật liệuCT
2.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
12.603
Current
2.700
Gap
+366.8%
ModelEV EBITDA DCF BLEND

Valuation Breakdown

CTXây dựng và Vật liệuConstruction
Classified as construction because ICB sector "Xây dựng và Vật liệu" maps to the construction group
ModelEV/EBITDA + DCF Blend
Intrinsic = 50% x EV/EBITDA Value + 50% x DCF Value

Construction and industrial firms have characteristics of both cyclical businesses (lumpy project-based revenue) and growth companies (expanding order books). This model blends two approaches 50/50: EV/EBITDA valuation (captures current earning power relative to peers) and FCF-based DCF (captures future cash generation potential). If EV/EBITDA produces a negative value (debt exceeds enterprise value), only DCF is used.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.100
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
12.20%
Ke
12.20%
x
E/(D+E)
100.00%
+
Kd(1-t)
0.00%
x
D/(D+E)
0.00%
=
WACC
12.20%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend3.00%
Growth decays 12%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
4
Valuation
50%EV/EBITDA Value
7.076
50%DCF Value
18.130
Blended Intrinsic
12.603
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VPC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

57
Fair
Accrual Quality
46
Cash Conversion
100
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.36
Moderate
DSRI
0.294
GMI
0.613
AQI
1.428
SGI
2.471
DEPI
1.699
SGAI
0.520
TATA
-0.151
LVGI
0.899

The Beneish M-Score of -2.3616 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the threshold of -1.78. However, the high Sales Growth Index (SGI) of 2.4707 raises concerns about sustainability, while the Earnings Quality Score of 56.6 suggests mixed earnings quality.

Red Flags
  • High SGI of 2.4707 indicates aggressive revenue growth that may not be sustainable.
  • Earnings Quality Score of 56.6/100, particularly low scores in eq_margin (0.0/100) and eq_revenue (0.0/100), suggest potential issues with revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.3616 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation.
  • Strong cash conversion metrics with eq_cash_conv at 100.0/100 and eq_receivables at 100.0/100 suggest effective cash management.
Ownership Risk

The top shareholders are concentrated, with the largest individual shareholder holding 11.2%, which may lead to governance risks and potential conflicts of interest.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor revenue growth sustainability and earnings quality metrics. Consider a cautious approach to investment until clearer signals of stable growth and improved earnings quality emerge.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
7/9
Strong
Z-Score
-2.20
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.19
Positive
Composite
70
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+13.0%
Volatility
79.6%
Max Drawdown
-51.5%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
1.74P/E
P/B0.00
P/S0.14
ROE-33.7%
ROA12.1%
EPS1032.57
BVPS0.00
Gross Margin9.2%
Net Margin8.2%
D/E-4.47
Current Ratio0.26
Rev Growth147.1%
Profit Growth164.8%
EV/EBITDA-607.22
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
5.6M
Charter Capital
56.3B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Industry (ICB L3)
Xây dựng và Vật liệu
Sub-industry
Xây dựng
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VPC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
nguyen-thanh-quang
Indiv
11.2%
630.440
nguyen-thanh-quang
Indiv
11.2%
630.440
Công ty TNHH Cavico Việt Nam
Inst
6.9%
389.100
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Nga
Indiv
6.7%
376.270
Công ty Tài Chính TNHH MTV Bưu Điện
Inst
5.8%
328.300
Vương Quốc Huy
Indiv
5.0%
280.000
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Huyền
Indiv
4.9%
273.400
Huỳnh Thị Huyền
Indiv
3.3%
186.200
Trần Quốc Bảo
Indiv
0.6%
36.340
Lê Đức Thọ
Indiv
0.5%
26.900
Dương Văn Sơn
Indiv
0.1%
8.000
Board & Management
Dương Văn Sơn0.1%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Kế toán trưởng
Lại Thế Vĩnh
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Phó Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị/Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Sáng
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Trần Mạnh Hùng
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Phạm Thế Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát/Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Xuân Quảng
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Văn Anh
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thị Vân Anh
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thành Trung
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
Methodology & Disclosure

vnvalue is a methodology engine — not an advisor. Every number is the deterministic output of a published formula applied to public financial data. Nothing on this page constitutes investment, financial, legal, or tax advice, nor a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.

All data, models, and outputs are provided AS IS without warranty of any kind. You are solely responsible for your investment decisions. Past performance and historical valuations are not indicative of future results.

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