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Consumer sector

TVM

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Tư vấn đầu tư Mỏ và công nghiệp - Vinacomin
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
10.400
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
38.682
Current
10.400
Gap
+271.9%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
24.02%
+
Kd(1-t)
5.06%
x
D/(D+E)
75.98%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend4.04%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF5.44B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
5.44B
Growth Rate
4.04%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
38.682
Value Decomposition
43%
57%
Explicit period (43%)Terminal value (57%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — TVM

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

56
Fair
Accrual Quality
85
Cash Conversion
0
Receivables
100
Margin Stability
95
Revenue Quality
0

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.81
Moderate
DSRI
0.836
GMI
1.019
AQI
2.576
SGI
1.008
DEPI
0.965
SGAI
0.995
TATA
0.037
LVGI
1.016

TVM exhibits several concerning indicators of potential financial manipulation, particularly with a Beneish M-Score of -1.8107, which is below the manipulation threshold. While the earnings quality score of 55.6 suggests moderate quality, the zero scores in cash conversion and revenue metrics raise significant concerns.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.8107 indicates potential earnings manipulation as it is below the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality score of 0.0/100 for eq_cash_conv and eq_revenue suggests severe issues with cash flow and revenue recognition.
Positive Signals
  • Strong receivables quality score of 100.0/100 indicates effective management of accounts receivable.
  • DSRI of 0.8363 suggests that inventory growth is lower than revenue growth, which can be a positive sign.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam at 51.0% indicates a potential risk of conflicts of interest and lack of minority shareholder influence, which is common in Vietnamese state-owned enterprises.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly regarding cash flow and revenue recognition practices, before considering an investment in TVM.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
4/9
Neutral
Z-Score
1.33
Distress Zone
Sharpe
0.68
Positive
Composite
67
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+10.0%
Volatility
1.6%
Max Drawdown
-1.0%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
20.81P/E
P/B0.87
P/S0.15
ROE4.1%
ROA1.0%
EPS754.38
BVPS11946.60
Gross Margin19.7%
Net Margin1.1%
D/E3.38
Current Ratio1.18
Rev Growth0.8%
Profit Growth2.5%
EV/EBITDA3.44
Div Yield4.8%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
2.4M
Charter Capital
24.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ KD
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for TVM — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
1.2 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Chiến
Indiv
0.5%
13.530
Nguyễn Công Tân
Indiv
0.5%
12.891
Phạm Thị Việt Nga
Indiv
0.4%
8.943
Lê Văn Duẩn
Indiv
0.4%
9.060
Đỗ Hồng Nguyên
Indiv
0.4%
9.057
Lê Đức Tuấn
Indiv
0.3%
6.294
nguyen-viet-cuong-2
Indiv
0.1%
2.811
Board & Management
Nguyễn Công Tân0.5%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Văn Duẩn0.4%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Việt Cường0.1%
Phó Giám đốc
Lê Việt Phương
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị/Phó Giám đốc
Trần Thị Minh Thu
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Đào Ngọc Hiệp
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Trọng Hùng
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Phương Giang
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phùng Đức Trưởng
Kế toán trưởng/Phụ trách Công bố thông tin
Trịnh Thùy Dung
Trưởng phòng Tài chính - Kế toán
Computed 12/04/2026
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