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Utilities sector

DDG

Utilities
Công ty Cổ phần Đầu tư Công nghiệp Xuất nhập khẩu Đông Dương
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt/Nước & Khí đốtCT
900
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Very Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
2.190
Current
900
Gap
+143.4%
ModelDDM 3STAGE

Valuation Breakdown

CTĐiện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốtUtility
Classified as utility because ICB sector "Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt" maps to the utility group
Model3-Stage DDM
Value = Sum of [DPS x (1+g)^t / (1+Ke)^t] + Terminal Dividend / (Ke - g_terminal)

The Dividend Discount Model values a stock based on its future dividend payments, discounted to present value. The 3-stage variant captures three phases of a company's life: high growth (years 1-3), a transition period where growth declines linearly (years 4-6), and a terminal stage of stable, perpetual growth (year 7+). As John D. Rockefeller said: "The only thing that gives me pleasure is to see my dividends coming in."

Distressed Valuation
No Dividends Or Earnings
BVPS
4.380
x
Discount
50%
=
Floor Value
4.380

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — DDG

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2025

19
Poor
Accrual Quality
10
Cash Conversion
22
Receivables
0
Margin Stability
0
Revenue Quality
63

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-2.57
Low Risk
DSRI
2.398
GMI
0.324
AQI
1.711
SGI
0.547
DEPI
1.092
SGAI
7.575
TATA
0.036
LVGI
0.866

The Beneish M-Score of -2.5739 indicates a low likelihood of earnings manipulation, as it is below the manipulation threshold of -1.78. However, the earnings quality score of 25.1/100, combined with high levels of discretionary expenses (SGAI of 7.5752), raises concerns about the sustainability of reported earnings.

Red Flags
  • Earnings Quality Score of 25.1/100 indicates poor earnings quality, particularly with eq_receivables and eq_margin both at 0.0/100.
  • SGAI of 7.5752 suggests excessive spending on selling, general, and administrative expenses, which could mask true profitability.
Positive Signals
  • Beneish M-Score of -2.5739 is significantly below the manipulation threshold, suggesting a lower risk of earnings manipulation.
Ownership Risk

The ownership structure is fragmented with no single shareholder holding a significant stake, which may limit control and oversight. This could lead to potential governance issues, particularly in a market where state-owned enterprises (SOEs) often dominate.

Recommendation

Investors should closely monitor the company's cash flow and expense management practices, particularly given the high SGAI. A thorough review of financial statements is recommended to assess the sustainability of earnings.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
3/9
Weak
Z-Score
-1.68
Distress Zone
Sharpe
-1.90
Negative
Composite
32
Weak
Price Risk
Momentum
-27.6%
Volatility
60.0%
Max Drawdown
-73.7%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2025
-0.22P/E
P/B0.21
P/S1.03
ROE-61.6%
ROA-21.9%
EPS-4185.06
BVPS4380.40
Gross Margin-70.5%
Net Margin-479.5%
D/E2.58
Current Ratio0.45
Rev Growth-80.5%
Profit Growth-429.0%
EV/EBITDA-4.17
Div Yield0.0%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
79.8M
Charter Capital
798.4B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Điện, nước & xăng dầu khí đốt
Industry (ICB L3)
Nước & Khí đốt
Sub-industry
Phân phối xăng dầu & khí đốt
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for DDG — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tạ Thị Ngọc Thảo
Indiv
4.2%
500.000
Nguyễn Thái Minh Thi
Indiv
4.0%
1.1 trieu
Phạm Thị Kim Yến
Indiv
2.6%
376.523
Yang Hỷ An
Indiv
2.5%
2.0 trieu
Trần Cửu Long
Indiv
2.5%
2.0 trieu
Trần Thị Hồng
Indiv
2.5%
2.0 trieu
Nguyễn Thị Kiều Yến Thu
Indiv
1.0%
141.981
Trần Kim Sa
Indiv
0.9%
750.100
nguyen-thanh-quang
Indiv
0.4%
334.700
Trần Kim Cương
Indiv
0.3%
250.000
Board & Management
Trần Kim Sa0.9%
Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Thanh Quang0.4%
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Trần Kim Cương0.3%
Phó Tổng Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Trung Quốc
Phó Tổng Giám đốc
Nguyễn Minh Tuấn
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Võ Anh Thịnh
Kế toán trưởng
Đinh Hoàng Ngọc Vân
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Lê Quang Chinh
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Văn Hiền
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Ngô Hoàng Yến
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Yang Tuấn An
Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Computed 12/04/2026
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