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Consumer sector

VQC

Consumer
Công ty Cổ phần Giám định Vinaconmin
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp/Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanhCT
17.700
VND · Last close
Valuation Verdict
Undervalued
Low
-120%Fair Value+120%
Intrinsic Value
71.017
Current
17.700
Gap
+301.2%
ModelFCF DCF

Valuation Breakdown

CTHàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệpConsumer
Classified as consumer because ICB sector "Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp" maps to the consumer group
ModelFCF-Based DCF
Value = Sum of [FCF / (1+WACC)^t] + Terminal Value / (1+WACC)^n

A classic Discounted Cash Flow model built on Free Cash Flow (FCF), the actual cash a business generates after all operating expenses and capital expenditures. Future FCF is projected for 10 years with gradually decaying growth, then discounted back to today's value using WACC. This is the gold standard of intrinsic valuation: it values the company based on what it can actually deliver to shareholders, independent of market sentiment.

1
Weighted Avg Cost of Capital
Risk-Free (Rf)
4.50%
+
Betasector default
1.000
x
ERP
4.25%
+
CRP
2.75%
=
Cost of Equity (Ke)
11.50%
Ke
11.50%
x
E/(D+E)
71.21%
+
Kd(1-t)
6.27%
x
D/(D+E)
28.79%
=
WACC
10.00%
2
Growth Estimate
fundamental firm blend7.42%
Growth decays 10%/yr toward terminal
3
Model Inputs
Base FCF12.16B
Projection years10
4
Valuation
Base FCF
12.16B
Growth Rate
7.42%
WACC
10.00%
Terminal Growth
4.00%
DCF Value
71.017
Value Decomposition
42%
58%
Explicit period (42%)Terminal value (58%)

Valuation Track Record

Retroactive intrinsic value vs actual close price — VQC

Earnings Quality

Fiscal year 2024

54
Fair
Accrual Quality
84
Cash Conversion
37
Receivables
21
Margin Stability
66
Revenue Quality
64

Financial Forensics

Beneish M-Score · 2024

-1.43
High Risk
DSRI
1.187
GMI
1.048
AQI
2.503
SGI
1.099
DEPI
1.363
SGAI
0.974
TATA
0.041
LVGI
1.240

VQC exhibits an elevated risk of earnings manipulation, as indicated by a Beneish M-Score of -1.4293, which is above the manipulation threshold of -1.78. The earnings quality metrics show significant weaknesses, particularly in cash conversion and receivables, suggesting potential issues with revenue recognition.

Red Flags
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.4293 indicates potential earnings manipulation risk, as it is above the threshold of -1.78.
  • Earnings quality cash conversion score of 36.5/100 is low, indicating potential issues in converting earnings to cash.
  • Receivables quality score of 20.7/100 suggests aggressive revenue recognition practices.
Positive Signals
  • DSRI of 1.1873 indicates that the company is managing its inventory levels reasonably well compared to sales.
  • SGAI of 0.9744 suggests that selling, general, and administrative expenses are being controlled effectively relative to sales growth.
Ownership Risk

The majority ownership by Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam at 51.0% indicates a strong influence over company decisions, which can lead to potential conflicts of interest and reduced transparency.

Recommendation

Investors should exercise caution and conduct further due diligence, particularly focusing on cash flow and receivables management. Consider monitoring future earnings reports closely for signs of improvement in cash conversion and receivables quality.

Generated by AI based on quantitative data. Not financial advice.

Quantitative Scores

F-Score
5/9
Neutral
Z-Score
3.08
Safe Zone
Sharpe
0.36
Positive
Composite
68
Fair
Price Risk
Momentum
+13.6%
Volatility
98.7%
Max Drawdown
-18.2%

Key Ratios

Fiscal year 2024
12.43P/E
P/B0.52
P/S0.19
ROE11.5%
ROA7.8%
EPS2873.66
BVPS24800.81
Gross Margin21.8%
Net Margin4.2%
D/E0.56
Current Ratio2.01
Rev Growth9.9%
Profit Growth-14.9%
EV/EBITDA0.90
Div Yield7.7%

Company Overview

Issued Shares
3.6M
Charter Capital
36.0B VND
Sector (ICB L2)
Hàng & Dịch vụ Công nghiệp
Industry (ICB L3)
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ Kinh doanh
Sub-industry
Tư vấn & Hỗ trợ KD
Company Type
CT

// OWNERSHIP_NETWORK

> mapping common ownership for VQC — hover nodes for intel, click to navigate

Shareholders
Tập đoàn Công nghiệp Than - Khoáng sản Việt Nam
Inst
51.0%
1.8 trieu
Phạm Thị Đào
Indiv
0.4%
14.683
Võ Thành Long
Indiv
0.4%
14.489
Nguyễn Tùng Linh
Indiv
0.4%
13.100
Công ty Cổ phần Giám định Vinaconmin
Inst
0.4%
13.100
Đoàn Hữu Ngạn
Indiv
0.3%
6.787
Phạm Thị Thu Thủy
Indiv
0.3%
11.991
Đặng Bá Sơn
Indiv
0.3%
6.257
Trần Minh Nghĩa
Indiv
0.3%
6.218
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
0.3%
11.192
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn
Indiv
0.3%
11.192
Phạm Thị Hồng Hạnh
Indiv
0.3%
10.596
Ngô Xuân Quy
Indiv
0.3%
10.578
Bùi Văn Mạnh
Indiv
0.3%
10.153
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Trinh
Indiv
0.3%
9.894
Phan Thị Hương
Indiv
0.3%
9.981
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thảo
Indiv
0.2%
6.516
nguyen-kim-ngan
Indiv
0.2%
6.327
Nguyễn Quang Trung
Indiv
0.2%
6.116
Phạm Văn Quang
Indiv
0.2%
5.727
Nguyễn Văn Hùng
Indiv
0.1%
5.142
Board & Management
Phạm Thị Thu Thủy0.3%
Phụ trách Công bố thông tin/Người phụ trách quản trị công ty
Nguyễn Ngọc Sơn0.3%
Giám đốc/Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Bùi Văn Mạnh0.3%
Phó Giám đốc
Nguyễn Thị Ngọc Trinh0.3%
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Phan Thị Hương0.3%
Trưởng Ban kiểm soát
Nguyễn Thị Thanh Thảo0.2%
Thành viên Hội đồng Quản trị
Nguyễn Quang Trung0.2%
Phó Giám đốc
Hoàng Thị Hải Yến
Thành viên Ban kiểm soát
Bùi Hồng Quang
Chủ tịch Hội đồng Quản trị
Computed 12/04/2026
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